OpenAI’s September 8 release of both an analytical write-up and a publicly verifiable Lean formalization of a finite-time singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations has anchored trader confidence that no retraction will occur by year-end. The machine-checked artifact, produced by an internal large language model swarm exceeding 10,000 agents, enables rapid independent scrutiny that has so far surfaced no mathematical errors, only ongoing disputes over research credit and data provenance. With the Clay Institute’s review process still ahead and historical precedent favoring formalizations that survive initial checks, the 92% market-implied odds reflect broad consensus that verifiable artifacts and lack of identified flaws make retraction improbable. Realistic challenges include discovery of subtle proof gaps during extended peer validation or new evidence of improper data use that forces a public correction.