The closely matched probabilities around 25–50% for DeepSeek, Qwen, OpenAI, and several others reflect a fragmented week of OpenRouter traffic, where no single lab has pulled decisively ahead in routing volume. Recent model releases from Chinese labs like DeepSeek and Alibaba’s Qwen have boosted throughput through competitive pricing and strong benchmark performance on coding and reasoning tasks, while OpenAI maintains steady usage from established developer workflows. Differentiating factors include API latency, context-window handling, and integration ease on the platform, with traders watching for any late-week spikes tied to new fine-tunes or regional demand shifts. This setup underscores how quickly market share can swing on incremental capability gains or cost changes in the large language model ecosystem.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedXiaomi 27%
Anthropic 27%
xAI 27%
Tencent 26%

Xiaomi
27%

Anthropic
27%

xAI
27%

Tencent
26%

Meta
26%

25%

MiniMax
25%

Nvidia
25%

OpenAI
25%

Qwen
24%

Z.ai
17%

DeepSeek
39%
Xiaomi 27%
Anthropic 27%
xAI 27%
Tencent 26%

Xiaomi
27%

Anthropic
27%

xAI
27%

Tencent
26%

Meta
26%

25%

MiniMax
25%

Nvidia
25%

OpenAI
25%

Qwen
24%

Z.ai
17%

DeepSeek
39%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around 25–50% for DeepSeek, Qwen, OpenAI, and several others reflect a fragmented week of OpenRouter traffic, where no single lab has pulled decisively ahead in routing volume. Recent model releases from Chinese labs like DeepSeek and Alibaba’s Qwen have boosted throughput through competitive pricing and strong benchmark performance on coding and reasoning tasks, while OpenAI maintains steady usage from established developer workflows. Differentiating factors include API latency, context-window handling, and integration ease on the platform, with traders watching for any late-week spikes tied to new fine-tunes or regional demand shifts. This setup underscores how quickly market share can swing on incremental capability gains or cost changes in the large language model ecosystem.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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