**Chinese labs are driving the tight race for top OpenRouter market share the week of September 7, fueled by aggressive pricing and rapid releases of high-context open-weight models.** DeepSeek’s V4.1 Flash launch on September 10, alongside strong token volume from Tencent’s Hy4 preview and Z.ai’s GLM 5.3 Flash, has boosted their API usage shares amid developer preference for low-cost inference on agentic and high-volume workloads. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash provide competitive capability but face pressure from cheaper alternatives, while recent data shows fragmented leadership with DeepSeek, Tencent, and others posting double-digit shares. This cost-driven shift keeps multiple labs within striking distance, with upcoming earnings, model updates, and routing changes likely to influence final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeepSeek 44%
OpenAI 41%
MiniMax 38%
xAI 36%

DeepSeek
44%

OpenAI
41%

MiniMax
38%

xAI
36%

35%

Xiaomi
27%

Meta
27%

Z.ai
26%

Tencent
26%

Anthropic
26%

Nvidia
26%

Qwen
26%
DeepSeek 44%
OpenAI 41%
MiniMax 38%
xAI 36%

DeepSeek
44%

OpenAI
41%

MiniMax
38%

xAI
36%

35%

Xiaomi
27%

Meta
27%

Z.ai
26%

Tencent
26%

Anthropic
26%

Nvidia
26%

Qwen
26%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Chinese labs are driving the tight race for top OpenRouter market share the week of September 7, fueled by aggressive pricing and rapid releases of high-context open-weight models.** DeepSeek’s V4.1 Flash launch on September 10, alongside strong token volume from Tencent’s Hy4 preview and Z.ai’s GLM 5.3 Flash, has boosted their API usage shares amid developer preference for low-cost inference on agentic and high-volume workloads. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash provide competitive capability but face pressure from cheaper alternatives, while recent data shows fragmented leadership with DeepSeek, Tencent, and others posting double-digit shares. This cost-driven shift keeps multiple labs within striking distance, with upcoming earnings, model updates, and routing changes likely to influence final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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