The even distribution of implied probabilities across dozens of quarterbacks underscores the inherent variance in single-game interception totals for 2026 NFL Week 1. Multiple starters face stout pass rushes or complex defensive schemes in season-opening matchups, while others adjust to new offensive coordinators, post-injury returns, or expanded roles after preseason turnover trends. Factors such as offensive-line health, receiver separation, and recent form in high-pressure situations keep the field tightly bunched, with no single signal-caller holding a decisive edge in trader consensus. Historical patterns of early-season mistakes among veterans and younger passers further support the competitive balance reflected in current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Rodgers 49%
Mac Jones 35%
Sam Darnold 35%
Drew Lock 35%
Aaron Rodgers
49%
Mac Jones
35%
Sam Darnold
35%
Drew Lock
35%
Kyle Allen
26%
Drake Maye
26%
Tyler Huntley
26%
Davis Mills
26%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
26%
Trevor Lawrence
26%
Bo Nix
26%
Justin Fields
26%
Justin Herbert
26%
Dak Prescott
26%
Jalen Hurts
26%
Marcus Mariota
26%
J.J. McCarthy
26%
Spencer Rattler
26%
Baker Mayfield
26%
Jalon Daniels
26%
Gardner Minshew II
26%
Josh Allen
25%
Malik Willis
25%
Tommy DeVito
25%
Geno Smith
25%
Lamar Jackson
25%
Joe Flacco
25%
Deshaun Watson
25%
Mason Rudolph
25%
C.J. Stroud
25%
Daniel Jones
25%
Quinn Ewers
25%
Jarrett Stidham
25%
Patrick Mahomes
25%
Kirk Cousins
25%
Sam Howell
25%
Jameis Winston
25%
Tyson Bagent
25%
Joshua Dobbs
25%
Jordan Love
25%
Michael Penix Jr.
25%
Matthew Stafford
25%
Stetson Bennett IV
25%
Brock Purdy
25%
Kyle McCord
24%
Cade Klubnik
24%
Joe Burrow
24%
Cam Ward
24%
Trey Lance
24%
Andy Dalton
24%
Jaxson Dart
24%
Jayden Daniels
24%
Caleb Williams
24%
Jared Goff
24%
Tyrod Taylor
24%
Kyler Murray
24%
Tua Tagovailoa
24%
Kenny Pickett
24%
Jacoby Brissett
24%
Shedeur Sanders
23%
Mitchell Trubisky
23%
Fernando Mendoza
23%
Bryce Young
23%
Tyler Shough
23%
Aaron Rodgers 49%
Mac Jones 35%
Sam Darnold 35%
Drew Lock 35%
Aaron Rodgers
49%
Mac Jones
35%
Sam Darnold
35%
Drew Lock
35%
Kyle Allen
26%
Drake Maye
26%
Tyler Huntley
26%
Davis Mills
26%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
26%
Trevor Lawrence
26%
Bo Nix
26%
Justin Fields
26%
Justin Herbert
26%
Dak Prescott
26%
Jalen Hurts
26%
Marcus Mariota
26%
J.J. McCarthy
26%
Spencer Rattler
26%
Baker Mayfield
26%
Jalon Daniels
26%
Gardner Minshew II
26%
Josh Allen
25%
Malik Willis
25%
Tommy DeVito
25%
Geno Smith
25%
Lamar Jackson
25%
Joe Flacco
25%
Deshaun Watson
25%
Mason Rudolph
25%
C.J. Stroud
25%
Daniel Jones
25%
Quinn Ewers
25%
Jarrett Stidham
25%
Patrick Mahomes
25%
Kirk Cousins
25%
Sam Howell
25%
Jameis Winston
25%
Tyson Bagent
25%
Joshua Dobbs
25%
Jordan Love
25%
Michael Penix Jr.
25%
Matthew Stafford
25%
Stetson Bennett IV
25%
Brock Purdy
25%
Kyle McCord
24%
Cade Klubnik
24%
Joe Burrow
24%
Cam Ward
24%
Trey Lance
24%
Andy Dalton
24%
Jaxson Dart
24%
Jayden Daniels
24%
Caleb Williams
24%
Jared Goff
24%
Tyrod Taylor
24%
Kyler Murray
24%
Tua Tagovailoa
24%
Kenny Pickett
24%
Jacoby Brissett
24%
Shedeur Sanders
23%
Mitchell Trubisky
23%
Fernando Mendoza
23%
Bryce Young
23%
Tyler Shough
23%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The even distribution of implied probabilities across dozens of quarterbacks underscores the inherent variance in single-game interception totals for 2026 NFL Week 1. Multiple starters face stout pass rushes or complex defensive schemes in season-opening matchups, while others adjust to new offensive coordinators, post-injury returns, or expanded roles after preseason turnover trends. Factors such as offensive-line health, receiver separation, and recent form in high-pressure situations keep the field tightly bunched, with no single signal-caller holding a decisive edge in trader consensus. Historical patterns of early-season mistakes among veterans and younger passers further support the competitive balance reflected in current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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