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icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader

Joe Burrow 27%

Trevor Lawrence 26.5%

Jaxson Dart 26.5%

Caleb Williams 26.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Joe Burrow 27%

Trevor Lawrence 26.5%

Jaxson Dart 26.5%

Caleb Williams 26.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Joe Burrow

$0 Vol.

27%

Trevor Lawrence

$0 Vol.

27%

Jaxson Dart

$0 Vol.

27%

Caleb Williams

$0 Vol.

27%

Baker Mayfield

$0 Vol.

27%

Cade Klubnik

$10 Vol.

26%

Fernando Mendoza

$10 Vol.

26%

Joshua Dobbs

$10 Vol.

26%

J.J. McCarthy

$10 Vol.

26%

Michael Penix Jr.

$10 Vol.

26%

Jalon Daniels

$10 Vol.

26%

Jacoby Brissett

$10 Vol.

26%

Brock Purdy

$0 Vol.

26%

Lamar Jackson

$0 Vol.

26%

Aaron Rodgers

$0 Vol.

26%

Daniel Jones

$0 Vol.

26%

Bo Nix

$0 Vol.

26%

Patrick Mahomes

$0 Vol.

26%

Dak Prescott

$0 Vol.

26%

Jayden Daniels

$0 Vol.

26%

Jared Goff

$0 Vol.

26%

Jordan Love

$0 Vol.

26%

Tua Tagovailoa

$0 Vol.

26%

Bryce Young

$0 Vol.

26%

Tyler Shough

$0 Vol.

26%

Kyle Allen

$10 Vol.

25%

Kyle McCord

$10 Vol.

25%

Tyler Huntley

$10 Vol.

25%

Shedeur Sanders

$10 Vol.

25%

Quinn Ewers

$10 Vol.

25%

Justin Fields

$10 Vol.

25%

Sam Howell

$10 Vol.

25%

Marcus Mariota

$10 Vol.

25%

Tyson Bagent

$10 Vol.

25%

Tyrod Taylor

$10 Vol.

25%

Kenny Pickett

$10 Vol.

25%

Gardner Minshew II

$10 Vol.

25%

Stetson Bennett IV

$10 Vol.

25%

Josh Allen

$0 Vol.

25%

Cam Ward

$0 Vol.

25%

Justin Herbert

$0 Vol.

25%

Kyler Murray

$0 Vol.

25%

Malik Willis

$10 Vol.

24%

Mason Rudolph

$10 Vol.

24%

Davis Mills

$10 Vol.

24%

Anthony Richardson Sr.

$10 Vol.

24%

Mitchell Trubisky

$10 Vol.

24%

Jameis Winston

$10 Vol.

24%

Geno Smith

$0 Vol.

24%

Deshaun Watson

$0 Vol.

24%

C.J. Stroud

$0 Vol.

24%

Kirk Cousins

$0 Vol.

24%

Jalen Hurts

$0 Vol.

24%

Joe Flacco

$10 Vol.

23%

Trey Lance

$10 Vol.

23%

Andy Dalton

$10 Vol.

23%

Spencer Rattler

$10 Vol.

23%

Jarrett Stidham

$10 Vol.

3%

Drake Maye

$43 Vol.

<1%

Tommy DeVito

$43 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Stafford

$15 Vol.

<1%

Mac Jones

$33 Vol.

<1%

Sam Darnold

$43 Vol.

<1%

Drew Lock

$33 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL Week 1 passing touchdowns leader market remains tightly bunched because dozens of starting quarterbacks enter with comparable implied probabilities around 25%, reflecting the high variance of a single slate rather than any dominant frontrunner. Favorable early matchups for offenses featuring Matthew Stafford, Brock Purdy, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and C.J. Stroud, combined with strong supporting casts and recent form, keep multiple signal-callers in contention. Early results, including Purdy’s three-touchdown outing, have not yet separated the field, while injury questions, defensive strength in certain games, and the possibility of backup appearances further compress pricing. Trader consensus prices this as a wide-open proposition where any of roughly a dozen passers could finish atop the leaderboard depending on game script and efficiency.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns.

Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$520
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL Week 1 passing touchdowns leader market remains tightly bunched because dozens of starting quarterbacks enter with comparable implied probabilities around 25%, reflecting the high variance of a single slate rather than any dominant frontrunner. Favorable early matchups for offenses featuring Matthew Stafford, Brock Purdy, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and C.J. Stroud, combined with strong supporting casts and recent form, keep multiple signal-callers in contention. Early results, including Purdy’s three-touchdown outing, have not yet separated the field, while injury questions, defensive strength in certain games, and the possibility of backup appearances further compress pricing. Trader consensus prices this as a wide-open proposition where any of roughly a dozen passers could finish atop the leaderboard depending on game script and efficiency.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns.

Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$520
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 64+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joe Burrow" at 27%, followed by "Trevor Lawrence" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader," browse the 64+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader" is "Joe Burrow" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trevor Lawrence" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Touchdowns Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.