With numerous quarterbacks clustered between 23% and 26% implied probability, the market reflects the inherent unpredictability of a single NFL game determining Week 1 QBR leadership. Factors such as offensive line protection, receiver separation, defensive schemes, and weather can swing individual passer ratings dramatically, while preseason form and training camp reports offer limited predictive value for opening-week results. No established frontrunner emerges because historical week-one variance favors a broad field of starters across favorable or neutral matchups, keeping the race wide open until actual snaps are played.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJosh Allen 26%
Kyle Allen 26%
Kyle McCord 26%
Drake Maye 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
Josh Allen
26%
Kyle Allen
26%
Kyle McCord
26%
Drake Maye
26%
Joe Burrow
26%
Quinn Ewers
26%
Fernando Mendoza
26%
Jaxson Dart
26%
Jameis Winston
26%
Jayden Daniels
26%
Marcus Mariota
26%
Michael Penix Jr.
26%
Bryce Young
26%
Sam Darnold
26%
Stetson Bennett IV
26%
Malik Willis
25%
Tommy DeVito
25%
Geno Smith
25%
Lamar Jackson
25%
Tyler Huntley
25%
Joe Flacco
25%
Shedeur Sanders
25%
Mason Rudolph
25%
Daniel Jones
25%
Trevor Lawrence
25%
Cam Ward
25%
Mitchell Trubisky
25%
Bo Nix
25%
Jarrett Stidham
25%
Patrick Mahomes
25%
Trey Lance
25%
Dak Prescott
25%
Andy Dalton
25%
Caleb Williams
25%
Tyson Bagent
25%
Jared Goff
25%
Joshua Dobbs
25%
Jordan Love
25%
Tyrod Taylor
25%
Kyler Murray
25%
Tua Tagovailoa
25%
Spencer Rattler
25%
Jalon Daniels
25%
Jacoby Brissett
25%
Gardner Minshew II
25%
Matthew Stafford
25%
Brock Purdy
25%
Drew Lock
25%
Cade Klubnik
24%
Deshaun Watson
24%
C.J. Stroud
24%
Davis Mills
24%
Justin Fields
24%
Kirk Cousins
24%
Justin Herbert
24%
Sam Howell
24%
Jalen Hurts
24%
J.J. McCarthy
24%
Kenny Pickett
24%
Tyler Shough
24%
Mac Jones
24%
Aaron Rodgers
23%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
23%
Baker Mayfield
23%
Josh Allen 26%
Kyle Allen 26%
Kyle McCord 26%
Drake Maye 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
Josh Allen
$0 Vol.
26%
Kyle Allen
$0 Vol.
26%
Kyle McCord
$0 Vol.
26%
Drake Maye
$0 Vol.
26%
Joe Burrow
$0 Vol.
26%
Quinn Ewers
$0 Vol.
26%
Fernando Mendoza
$0 Vol.
26%
Jaxson Dart
$0 Vol.
26%
Jameis Winston
$0 Vol.
26%
Jayden Daniels
$0 Vol.
26%
Marcus Mariota
$0 Vol.
26%
Michael Penix Jr.
$0 Vol.
26%
Bryce Young
$0 Vol.
26%
Sam Darnold
$0 Vol.
26%
Stetson Bennett IV
$0 Vol.
26%
Malik Willis
$0 Vol.
25%
Tommy DeVito
$0 Vol.
25%
Geno Smith
$0 Vol.
25%
Lamar Jackson
$0 Vol.
25%
Tyler Huntley
$0 Vol.
25%
Joe Flacco
$0 Vol.
25%
Shedeur Sanders
$0 Vol.
25%
Mason Rudolph
$0 Vol.
25%
Daniel Jones
$0 Vol.
25%
Trevor Lawrence
$0 Vol.
25%
Cam Ward
$0 Vol.
25%
Mitchell Trubisky
$0 Vol.
25%
Bo Nix
$0 Vol.
25%
Jarrett Stidham
$0 Vol.
25%
Patrick Mahomes
$0 Vol.
25%
Trey Lance
$0 Vol.
25%
Dak Prescott
$0 Vol.
25%
Andy Dalton
$0 Vol.
25%
Caleb Williams
$0 Vol.
25%
Tyson Bagent
$0 Vol.
25%
Jared Goff
$0 Vol.
25%
Joshua Dobbs
$0 Vol.
25%
Jordan Love
$0 Vol.
25%
Tyrod Taylor
$0 Vol.
25%
Kyler Murray
$0 Vol.
25%
Tua Tagovailoa
$0 Vol.
25%
Spencer Rattler
$0 Vol.
25%
Jalon Daniels
$0 Vol.
25%
Jacoby Brissett
$0 Vol.
25%
Gardner Minshew II
$0 Vol.
25%
Matthew Stafford
$0 Vol.
25%
Brock Purdy
$0 Vol.
25%
Drew Lock
$0 Vol.
25%
Cade Klubnik
$0 Vol.
24%
Deshaun Watson
$0 Vol.
24%
C.J. Stroud
$0 Vol.
24%
Davis Mills
$0 Vol.
24%
Justin Fields
$0 Vol.
24%
Kirk Cousins
$0 Vol.
24%
Justin Herbert
$0 Vol.
24%
Sam Howell
$0 Vol.
24%
Jalen Hurts
$0 Vol.
24%
J.J. McCarthy
$0 Vol.
24%
Kenny Pickett
$0 Vol.
24%
Tyler Shough
$0 Vol.
24%
Mac Jones
$0 Vol.
24%
Aaron Rodgers
$0 Vol.
23%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
$0 Vol.
23%
Baker Mayfield
$0 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With numerous quarterbacks clustered between 23% and 26% implied probability, the market reflects the inherent unpredictability of a single NFL game determining Week 1 QBR leadership. Factors such as offensive line protection, receiver separation, defensive schemes, and weather can swing individual passer ratings dramatically, while preseason form and training camp reports offer limited predictive value for opening-week results. No established frontrunner emerges because historical week-one variance favors a broad field of starters across favorable or neutral matchups, keeping the race wide open until actual snaps are played.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With numerous quarterbacks clustered between 23% and 26% implied probability, the market reflects the inherent unpredictability of a single NFL game determining Week 1 QBR leadership. Factors such as offensive line protection, receiver separation, defensive schemes, and weather can swing individual passer ratings dramatically, while preseason form and training camp reports offer limited predictive value for opening-week results. No established frontrunner emerges because historical week-one variance favors a broad field of starters across favorable or neutral matchups, keeping the race wide open until actual snaps are played.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With numerous quarterbacks clustered between 23% and 26% implied probability, the market reflects the inherent unpredictability of a single NFL game determining Week 1 QBR leadership. Factors such as offensive line protection, receiver separation, defensive schemes, and weather can swing individual passer ratings dramatically, while preseason form and training camp reports offer limited predictive value for opening-week results. No established frontrunner emerges because historical week-one variance favors a broad field of starters across favorable or neutral matchups, keeping the race wide open until actual snaps are played.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will Aaron Rodgers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR among qualified players?
34%
Will Mac Jones finish Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?
50%
Will Joe Burrow finish Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?
27%
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Frequently Asked Questions