**Trader consensus strongly favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day earning under $9 million in its seventh weekend, with an 88.5% implied probability, reflecting the film's sharp late-run decline after a record-breaking start.** Released July 31, 2026, the Destin Daniel Cretton-directed Sony/Marvel tentpole opened to a franchise-best $360 million domestically and has amassed over $926 million to date, with legs around 2.57. However, weekend grosses have fallen steadily—from $144 million in weekend two to $18.2 million in weekend six—amid reduced theater counts, typical front-loaded superhero audience patterns, and increasing competition from newer titles. Daily figures in early September already hover in the low hundreds of thousands, positioning the upcoming frame for continued erosion absent any major re-release or marketing push.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office
<9m 89%
9-10m 12%
10-11m <1%
11-12m <1%
NEW
$29,530 Vol.
NEW
$29,530 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
<9m
89%
9-10m
12%
10-11m
1%
11-12m
<1%
12m+
<1%
<9m 89%
9-10m 12%
10-11m <1%
11-12m <1%
NEW
$29,530 Vol.
NEW
$29,530 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
<9m
$15,330 Vol.
89%
9-10m
$6,991 Vol.
12%
10-11m
$5,317 Vol.
1%
11-12m
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
12m+
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus strongly favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day earning under $9 million in its seventh weekend, with an 88.5% implied probability, reflecting the film's sharp late-run decline after a record-breaking start.**
Released July 31, 2026, the Destin Daniel Cretton-directed Sony/Marvel tentpole opened to a franchise-best $360 million domestically and has amassed over $926 million to date, with legs around 2.57. However, weekend grosses have fallen steadily—from $144 million in weekend two to $18.2 million in weekend six—amid reduced theater counts, typical front-loaded superhero audience patterns, and increasing competition from newer titles. Daily figures in early September already hover in the low hundreds of thousands, positioning the upcoming frame for continued erosion absent any major re-release or marketing push.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volume
$29,530End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus strongly favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day earning under $9 million in its seventh weekend, with an 88.5% implied probability, reflecting the film's sharp late-run decline after a record-breaking start.**
Released July 31, 2026, the Destin Daniel Cretton-directed Sony/Marvel tentpole opened to a franchise-best $360 million domestically and has amassed over $926 million to date, with legs around 2.57. However, weekend grosses have fallen steadily—from $144 million in weekend two to $18.2 million in weekend six—amid reduced theater counts, typical front-loaded superhero audience patterns, and increasing competition from newer titles. Daily figures in early September already hover in the low hundreds of thousands, positioning the upcoming frame for continued erosion absent any major re-release or marketing push.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$29,530End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day earning under $9 million in its seventh weekend, with an 88.5% implied probability, reflecting the film's sharp late-run decline after a record-breaking start.** Released July 31, 2026, the Destin Daniel Cretton-directed Sony/Marvel tentpole opened to a franchise-best $360 million domestically and has amassed over $926 million to date, with legs around 2.57. However, weekend grosses have fallen steadily—from $144 million in weekend two to $18.2 million in weekend six—amid reduced theater counts, typical front-loaded superhero audience patterns, and increasing competition from newer titles. Daily figures in early September already hover in the low hundreds of thousands, positioning the upcoming frame for continued erosion absent any major re-release or marketing push.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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