**Strong trader consensus around a sub-$6 million domestic opening weekend for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller Hope stems primarily from its modest North American theatrical footprint and stiff competition.** Neon released the Cannes competitor in just 1,560 theaters on September 9, where it posted a $1.1 million opening day before adding roughly $595,000 the next day. This performance trails far behind concurrent wide releases such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey, while the film’s niche international horror elements and mixed South Korean reception limit broad mainstream appeal. With the three-day weekend (September 11–13) already tracking well below $2 million through the first two days, markets assign over 94% implied probability to the lowest bracket. Realistic upset paths to $6–7 million or higher would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or review-driven gains that overcome the constrained screen count and holiday-weekend positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
<6m 97.2%
6-7m 2.3%
7-8m <1%
10m+ <1%
$193,778 Vol.
$193,778 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
<6m
97%
6-7m
2%
7-8m
1%
8-9m
<1%
9-10m
<1%
10m+
1%
<6m 97.2%
6-7m 2.3%
7-8m <1%
10m+ <1%
$193,778 Vol.
$193,778 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
<6m
$42,571 Vol.
97%
6-7m
$29,096 Vol.
2%
7-8m
$36,683 Vol.
1%
8-9m
$28,543 Vol.
<1%
9-10m
$28,593 Vol.
<1%
10m+
$28,292 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong trader consensus around a sub-$6 million domestic opening weekend for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller Hope stems primarily from its modest North American theatrical footprint and stiff competition.** Neon released the Cannes competitor in just 1,560 theaters on September 9, where it posted a $1.1 million opening day before adding roughly $595,000 the next day. This performance trails far behind concurrent wide releases such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey, while the film’s niche international horror elements and mixed South Korean reception limit broad mainstream appeal. With the three-day weekend (September 11–13) already tracking well below $2 million through the first two days, markets assign over 94% implied probability to the lowest bracket. Realistic upset paths to $6–7 million or higher would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or review-driven gains that overcome the constrained screen count and holiday-weekend positioning.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$193,778End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong trader consensus around a sub-$6 million domestic opening weekend for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller Hope stems primarily from its modest North American theatrical footprint and stiff competition.** Neon released the Cannes competitor in just 1,560 theaters on September 9, where it posted a $1.1 million opening day before adding roughly $595,000 the next day. This performance trails far behind concurrent wide releases such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey, while the film’s niche international horror elements and mixed South Korean reception limit broad mainstream appeal. With the three-day weekend (September 11–13) already tracking well below $2 million through the first two days, markets assign over 94% implied probability to the lowest bracket. Realistic upset paths to $6–7 million or higher would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or review-driven gains that overcome the constrained screen count and holiday-weekend positioning.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$193,778End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong trader consensus around a sub-$6 million domestic opening weekend for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller Hope stems primarily from its modest North American theatrical footprint and stiff competition.** Neon released the Cannes competitor in just 1,560 theaters on September 9, where it posted a $1.1 million opening day before adding roughly $595,000 the next day. This performance trails far behind concurrent wide releases such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day and The Odyssey, while the film’s niche international horror elements and mixed South Korean reception limit broad mainstream appeal. With the three-day weekend (September 11–13) already tracking well below $2 million through the first two days, markets assign over 94% implied probability to the lowest bracket. Realistic upset paths to $6–7 million or higher would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or review-driven gains that overcome the constrained screen count and holiday-weekend positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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