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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Sep 15

Sep 15

Those Who Wish Me Dead 94%

The Whisper Man 7%

Turning Point: Generation 9/11 4.0%

Why Did I Get Married Again? <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Those Who Wish Me Dead 94%

The Whisper Man 7%

Turning Point: Generation 9/11 4.0%

Why Did I Get Married Again? <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Why Did I Get Married Again?

Why Did I Get Married Again?

$53 Vol.

1%

icon for The Whisper Man

The Whisper Man

$1,280 Vol.

7%

icon for Turning Point: Generation 9/11

Turning Point: Generation 9/11

$386 Vol.

4%

icon for Those Who Wish Me Dead

Those Who Wish Me Dead

$1,245 Vol.

94%

icon for Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

$201 Vol.

1%

icon for The Secret Woman

The Secret Woman

$582 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus places Those Who Wish Me Dead at a 91% implied probability for the #2 US Netflix movie this week, reflecting its commanding lead in current viewership metrics and platform rankings. Sustained audience engagement for the Angelina Jolie thriller has outpaced other titles amid a relatively quiet period for new major releases, aligning with typical Netflix chart patterns where established performers maintain momentum through the weekly cycle. Titles such as Movie A, Movie B, and Movie C at 50% each face steep hurdles in generating the rapid gains needed to overtake it. An upset remains possible if an unexpected promotional push, viral moment, or late-week chart update elevates one of the lower-probability options before the period closes.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,746
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus places Those Who Wish Me Dead at a 91% implied probability for the #2 US Netflix movie this week, reflecting its commanding lead in current viewership metrics and platform rankings. Sustained audience engagement for the Angelina Jolie thriller has outpaced other titles amid a relatively quiet period for new major releases, aligning with typical Netflix chart patterns where established performers maintain momentum through the weekly cycle. Titles such as Movie A, Movie B, and Movie C at 50% each face steep hurdles in generating the rapid gains needed to overtake it. An upset remains possible if an unexpected promotional push, viral moment, or late-week chart update elevates one of the lower-probability options before the period closes.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,746
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Those Who Wish Me Dead" at 94%, followed by "The Whisper Man" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Those Who Wish Me Dead" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Whisper Man" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.