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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Sep 15

Sep 15

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 95.9%

NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams 2.5%

The Gentlemen: Season 2 1.7%

Crew Girl: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,796 Vol.

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 95.9%

NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams 2.5%

The Gentlemen: Season 2 1.7%

Crew Girl: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,796 Vol.

icon for The Gentlemen: Season 2

The Gentlemen: Season 2

$329 Vol.

2%

icon for Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1

$8,112 Vol.

96%

icon for Crew Girl: Season 1

Crew Girl: Season 1

$969 Vol.

1%

icon for Beauty in Black: Season 3

Beauty in Black: Season 3

$213 Vol.

1%

icon for Instadocs: The Decoy Plane

Instadocs: The Decoy Plane

$319 Vol.

1%

icon for NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams

NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams

$1,854 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97% implied probability because the three-part true crime docuseries has held the No. 1 spot on Netflix’s official US Top 10 for multiple consecutive weeks since its late-August premiere. Strong viewership—nearly 19 million in its first tracked week and sustained high engagement—combined with a perfect 100% Rotten Tomatoes score from early critics has created durable audience momentum that newer releases have yet to displace. While The Gentlemen Season 2 and fresh titles like Instadocs: The Decoy Plane have posted solid numbers, none have matched the docuseries’ domestic chart lock. An upset would require an unprecedented late-week surge from a competitor or a sudden drop-off in the frontrunner’s performance before the weekly chart update locks in.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$11,796
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97% implied probability because the three-part true crime docuseries has held the No. 1 spot on Netflix’s official US Top 10 for multiple consecutive weeks since its late-August premiere. Strong viewership—nearly 19 million in its first tracked week and sustained high engagement—combined with a perfect 100% Rotten Tomatoes score from early critics has created durable audience momentum that newer releases have yet to displace. While The Gentlemen Season 2 and fresh titles like Instadocs: The Decoy Plane have posted solid numbers, none have matched the docuseries’ domestic chart lock. An upset would require an unprecedented late-week surge from a competitor or a sudden drop-off in the frontrunner’s performance before the weekly chart update locks in.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$11,796
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" at 96%, followed by "The Gentlemen: Season 2" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Gentlemen: Season 2" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.