**Trader consensus heavily favors "The Uprising" opening below $4.5 million domestically, reflecting soft presales and modest tracking for the wide Focus Features release.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt stars Andrew Garfield but faces a crowded September 11–13 weekend alongside *Practical Magic 2* and other titles. Mixed reviews (57% on Rotten Tomatoes, Metacritic 57) and limited broad appeal for the period piece have tempered expectations despite its 2,055-theater footprint. Industry narratives around modest marketing visibility and genre constraints reinforce the market’s strong positioning. An upset above $5.5 million would require exceptional word-of-mouth or stronger-than-anticipated turnout from Garfield and Greengrass fans, though current indicators point to limited upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office
<4.5m 96.8%
4.5-5.5m 3.1%
5.5-6.5m <1%
6.5-7.5m <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<4.5m
97%
4.5-5.5m
3%
5.5-6.5m
1%
6.5-7.5m
1%
7.5m+
<1%
<4.5m 96.8%
4.5-5.5m 3.1%
5.5-6.5m <1%
6.5-7.5m <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<4.5m
$1,849 Vol.
97%
4.5-5.5m
$455 Vol.
3%
5.5-6.5m
$393 Vol.
1%
6.5-7.5m
$353 Vol.
1%
7.5m+
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus heavily favors "The Uprising" opening below $4.5 million domestically, reflecting soft presales and modest tracking for the wide Focus Features release.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt stars Andrew Garfield but faces a crowded September 11–13 weekend alongside *Practical Magic 2* and other titles. Mixed reviews (57% on Rotten Tomatoes, Metacritic 57) and limited broad appeal for the period piece have tempered expectations despite its 2,055-theater footprint. Industry narratives around modest marketing visibility and genre constraints reinforce the market’s strong positioning. An upset above $5.5 million would require exceptional word-of-mouth or stronger-than-anticipated turnout from Garfield and Greengrass fans, though current indicators point to limited upside.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,531End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus heavily favors "The Uprising" opening below $4.5 million domestically, reflecting soft presales and modest tracking for the wide Focus Features release.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt stars Andrew Garfield but faces a crowded September 11–13 weekend alongside *Practical Magic 2* and other titles. Mixed reviews (57% on Rotten Tomatoes, Metacritic 57) and limited broad appeal for the period piece have tempered expectations despite its 2,055-theater footprint. Industry narratives around modest marketing visibility and genre constraints reinforce the market’s strong positioning. An upset above $5.5 million would require exceptional word-of-mouth or stronger-than-anticipated turnout from Garfield and Greengrass fans, though current indicators point to limited upside.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$3,531End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors "The Uprising" opening below $4.5 million domestically, reflecting soft presales and modest tracking for the wide Focus Features release.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt stars Andrew Garfield but faces a crowded September 11–13 weekend alongside *Practical Magic 2* and other titles. Mixed reviews (57% on Rotten Tomatoes, Metacritic 57) and limited broad appeal for the period piece have tempered expectations despite its 2,055-theater footprint. Industry narratives around modest marketing visibility and genre constraints reinforce the market’s strong positioning. An upset above $5.5 million would require exceptional word-of-mouth or stronger-than-anticipated turnout from Garfield and Greengrass fans, though current indicators point to limited upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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