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# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 17-23)

icon for # Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 17-23)

# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 17-23)

Aug 27

Aug 27

9.5m–10m 25%

7m–7.5m 24%

10m+ 24%

7.5m–8m 23%

Polymarket
NEW

9.5m–10m 25%

7m–7.5m 24%

10m+ 24%

7.5m–8m 23%

Polymarket
NEW

<7m

$0 Vol.

18%

7m–7.5m

$0 Vol.

24%

7.5m–8m

$0 Vol.

23%

8m–8.5m

$0 Vol.

21%

8.5m–9m

$40 Vol.

68%

9m–9.5m

$0 Vol.

18%

9.5m–10m

$0 Vol.

25%

10m+

$0 Vol.

24%

Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 17 - August 23. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).**ABC World News Tonight with David Muir** anchors the market because it has held the Nielsen linear top spot for 18 straight weeks with consistent 8+ million P2+ viewers in recent live-plus-same-day measurements, including 8.436 million the prior week. In the summer off-season, when most scripted series are in repeats, linear evening newscasts deliver the highest single-program totals on the chart that resolves this market. Traders see little upside from specials or sports during Aug 17-23, which keeps implied probabilities concentrated in the 7–10 million range and favors the 8.5–9 million bracket as the consensus outcome. Nielsen’s Thursday updates will confirm whether any late-week developments shift the final figure.

Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 17 - August 23.

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Volume
$40
End Date
Aug 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 17 - August 23. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 17 - August 23. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).**ABC World News Tonight with David Muir** anchors the market because it has held the Nielsen linear top spot for 18 straight weeks with consistent 8+ million P2+ viewers in recent live-plus-same-day measurements, including 8.436 million the prior week. In the summer off-season, when most scripted series are in repeats, linear evening newscasts deliver the highest single-program totals on the chart that resolves this market. Traders see little upside from specials or sports during Aug 17-23, which keeps implied probabilities concentrated in the 7–10 million range and favors the 8.5–9 million bracket as the consensus outcome. Nielsen’s Thursday updates will confirm whether any late-week developments shift the final figure.

Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 17 - August 23.

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Volume
$40
End Date
Aug 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 17 - August 23. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 17-23)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "8.5m–9m" at 68%, followed by "9.5m–10m" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 17-23)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 17-23)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 17-23)" is "8.5m–9m" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9.5m–10m" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 17-23)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.