OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads LiveBench Mathematics with a 96.2 score, driving the 93.5% market-implied odds through consistent top placement on contamination-free math tasks that test multi-step symbolic reasoning and competition-level problems. Recent GPT-5.6 iterations have demonstrated clear gains over prior versions in objective benchmarks, reinforcing trader consensus that the model family holds the edge heading into late August. This positioning could shift if Anthropic or another lab releases a stronger math-optimized model or configuration before month-end, or if LiveBench incorporates new questions that expose limitations in OpenAI’s current approach.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOpenAI 94%
Anthropic 2.5%
Moonshot <1%
Mistral <1%
$19,600 Vol.
$19,600 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
OpenAI
94%
Anthropic
3%
Moonshot
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
OpenAI 94%
Anthropic 2.5%
Moonshot <1%
Mistral <1%
$19,600 Vol.
$19,600 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
OpenAI
$4,545 Vol.
94%
Anthropic
$2,669 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$1,169 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$382 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$616 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$376 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$446 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$671 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$769 Vol.
<1%
$691 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$569 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$582 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$902 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$582 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$682 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$568 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$488 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$936 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$781 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$712 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$463 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads LiveBench Mathematics with a 96.2 score, driving the 93.5% market-implied odds through consistent top placement on contamination-free math tasks that test multi-step symbolic reasoning and competition-level problems. Recent GPT-5.6 iterations have demonstrated clear gains over prior versions in objective benchmarks, reinforcing trader consensus that the model family holds the edge heading into late August. This positioning could shift if Anthropic or another lab releases a stronger math-optimized model or configuration before month-end, or if LiveBench incorporates new questions that expose limitations in OpenAI’s current approach.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$19,600End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolution Source
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads LiveBench Mathematics with a 96.2 score, driving the 93.5% market-implied odds through consistent top placement on contamination-free math tasks that test multi-step symbolic reasoning and competition-level problems. Recent GPT-5.6 iterations have demonstrated clear gains over prior versions in objective benchmarks, reinforcing trader consensus that the model family holds the edge heading into late August. This positioning could shift if Anthropic or another lab releases a stronger math-optimized model or configuration before month-end, or if LiveBench incorporates new questions that expose limitations in OpenAI’s current approach.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$19,600End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolution Source
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads LiveBench Mathematics with a 96.2 score, driving the 93.5% market-implied odds through consistent top placement on contamination-free math tasks that test multi-step symbolic reasoning and competition-level problems. Recent GPT-5.6 iterations have demonstrated clear gains over prior versions in objective benchmarks, reinforcing trader consensus that the model family holds the edge heading into late August. This positioning could shift if Anthropic or another lab releases a stronger math-optimized model or configuration before month-end, or if LiveBench incorporates new questions that expose limitations in OpenAI’s current approach.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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