OpenAI holds a narrow market edge on the LiveBench Mathematics category through end of October because its o-series and GPT-5 variants continue to post the highest verified scores on contamination-resistant math tasks, reflecting sustained gains in chain-of-thought reasoning and test-time compute. Anthropic remains close behind with Claude models that have narrowed gaps via targeted math training, while Google, DeepSeek, Moonshot, and Z.ai deliver competitive incremental releases that keep the field tightly bunched. Traders see no durable leader yet, as frontier labs iterate rapidly on synthetic data and hybrid symbolic approaches, and the two-month window leaves room for new model drops or leaderboard refreshes to shift positions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
OpenAI 55%
Anthropic 46%
Z.ai <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$11,553 Vol.
$11,553 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
55%
Anthropic
46%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
1%
ByteDance
1%
Thinky
1%
MiniMax
1%
StepFun
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Mistral
<1%
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meituan
<1%
OpenAI 55%
Anthropic 46%
Z.ai <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$11,553 Vol.
$11,553 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$1,544 Vol.
55%
Anthropic
$1,945 Vol.
46%
Z.ai
$735 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$479 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$476 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$461 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$477 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$436 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$436 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$436 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$441 Vol.
1%
Meta
$447 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$436 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$456 Vol.
<1%
$450 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$352 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”OpenAI holds a narrow market edge on the LiveBench Mathematics category through end of October because its o-series and GPT-5 variants continue to post the highest verified scores on contamination-resistant math tasks, reflecting sustained gains in chain-of-thought reasoning and test-time compute. Anthropic remains close behind with Claude models that have narrowed gaps via targeted math training, while Google, DeepSeek, Moonshot, and Z.ai deliver competitive incremental releases that keep the field tightly bunched. Traders see no durable leader yet, as frontier labs iterate rapidly on synthetic data and hybrid symbolic approaches, and the two-month window leaves room for new model drops or leaderboard refreshes to shift positions before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$11,553End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”OpenAI holds a narrow market edge on the LiveBench Mathematics category through end of October because its o-series and GPT-5 variants continue to post the highest verified scores on contamination-resistant math tasks, reflecting sustained gains in chain-of-thought reasoning and test-time compute. Anthropic remains close behind with Claude models that have narrowed gaps via targeted math training, while Google, DeepSeek, Moonshot, and Z.ai deliver competitive incremental releases that keep the field tightly bunched. Traders see no durable leader yet, as frontier labs iterate rapidly on synthetic data and hybrid symbolic approaches, and the two-month window leaves room for new model drops or leaderboard refreshes to shift positions before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$11,553End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds a narrow market edge on the LiveBench Mathematics category through end of October because its o-series and GPT-5 variants continue to post the highest verified scores on contamination-resistant math tasks, reflecting sustained gains in chain-of-thought reasoning and test-time compute. Anthropic remains close behind with Claude models that have narrowed gaps via targeted math training, while Google, DeepSeek, Moonshot, and Z.ai deliver competitive incremental releases that keep the field tightly bunched. Traders see no durable leader yet, as frontier labs iterate rapidly on synthetic data and hybrid symbolic approaches, and the two-month window leaves room for new model drops or leaderboard refreshes to shift positions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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