OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 model, released in April 2026 as part of ChatGPT Images 2.0, drives the overwhelming 97% market consensus through its leading benchmark performance, including top Elo scores on text-to-image and editing arenas, near-perfect text rendering, integrated reasoning for prompt adherence, and seamless multimodal capabilities within the widely used ChatGPT platform. This positions it ahead of rivals in overall production quality and accessibility as the August resolution date approaches. A late-month breakthrough release or major capability leap from competitors such as Black Forest Labs’ FLUX, Ideogram, or Midjourney could still shift outcomes if independently verified before the cutoff, though current data shows limited signs of such disruption.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOpenAI 97.0%
SpaceXAI 1.3%
Alibaba 1.3%
Ideogram <1%
$28,297 Vol.
$28,297 Vol.

OpenAI
97%

SpaceXAI
1%

Alibaba
1%

Ideogram
1%

Microsoft AI
1%

Bytedance
1%

Meta
1%

Reve
<1%

<1%

Recraft
<1%

Black Forest Labs
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Luma AI
<1%
OpenAI 97.0%
SpaceXAI 1.3%
Alibaba 1.3%
Ideogram <1%
$28,297 Vol.
$28,297 Vol.

OpenAI
97%

SpaceXAI
1%

Alibaba
1%

Ideogram
1%

Microsoft AI
1%

Bytedance
1%

Meta
1%

Reve
<1%

<1%

Recraft
<1%

Black Forest Labs
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Luma AI
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 model, released in April 2026 as part of ChatGPT Images 2.0, drives the overwhelming 97% market consensus through its leading benchmark performance, including top Elo scores on text-to-image and editing arenas, near-perfect text rendering, integrated reasoning for prompt adherence, and seamless multimodal capabilities within the widely used ChatGPT platform. This positions it ahead of rivals in overall production quality and accessibility as the August resolution date approaches. A late-month breakthrough release or major capability leap from competitors such as Black Forest Labs’ FLUX, Ideogram, or Midjourney could still shift outcomes if independently verified before the cutoff, though current data shows limited signs of such disruption.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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