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Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?

icon for Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?
Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Google 97.2%

ByteDance 1.7%

MiniMax <1%

Lightricks <1%

Polymarket

$32,985 Vol.

Google 97.2%

ByteDance 1.7%

MiniMax <1%

Lightricks <1%

Polymarket

$32,985 Vol.

icon for Google

Google

$12,573 Vol.

97%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$6,507 Vol.

2%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$1,886 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lightricks

Lightricks

$1,494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$1,186 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

$565 Vol.

<1%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$703 Vol.

<1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$600 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pixverse

Pixverse

$618 Vol.

<1%

icon for Runway

Runway

$565 Vol.

<1%

icon for KlingAI

KlingAI

$546 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pruna

Pruna

$574 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luma AI

Luma AI

$748 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kandinsky

Kandinsky

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$846 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pika

Pika

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Genmo AI

Genmo AI

$2,369 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's dominant 97% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus around Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash as the strongest all-round text-to-video systems with native audio, superior prompt adherence, up to 4K resolution, and seamless integration into Flow and the Gemini API. Mid-2026 updates added conversational multi-turn editing, video extension with character consistency, and broader Workspace access, reinforcing Google's edge over specialized rivals. Competitive arenas show ByteDance Seedance and Kling models leading narrow categories such as image-to-video or cost-efficiency, yet Google maintains the broadest verified capability set as of late August. A late-month benchmark reversal or major competitor release could still shift outcomes before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$32,985
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's dominant 97% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus around Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash as the strongest all-round text-to-video systems with native audio, superior prompt adherence, up to 4K resolution, and seamless integration into Flow and the Gemini API. Mid-2026 updates added conversational multi-turn editing, video extension with character consistency, and broader Workspace access, reinforcing Google's edge over specialized rivals. Competitive arenas show ByteDance Seedance and Kling models leading narrow categories such as image-to-video or cost-efficiency, yet Google maintains the broadest verified capability set as of late August. A late-month benchmark reversal or major competitor release could still shift outcomes before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$32,985
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?

97%
icon for Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?

Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?

89%
icon for Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

83%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Google" at 97%, followed by "ByteDance" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?" has generated $33K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?" is "Google" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ByteDance" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.