**The Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) passed the House on July 14, 2026, by a 308-117 bipartisan vote, advancing a measure to make daylight saving time permanent nationwide and eliminate biannual clock changes under the Uniform Time Act.** President Trump has publicly backed the bill, and 19 states have enacted supporting measures contingent on federal action. However, after referral to the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee on July 15, the legislation has seen no floor vote or committee advancement as of late August. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has expressed uncertainty about sufficient support, while Sen. Tom Cotton and others have raised concerns over later winter sunrises affecting schools, commuters, and northern states. With the Senate in recess until mid-September and the next scheduled clock change set for November 1, 2026, enactment this year remains unlikely. Traders assign an 84.5% probability to “No” based on this Senate bottleneck and the narrow remaining legislative window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated16% chance
$19,332 Vol.
$19,332 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
16% chance
$19,332 Vol.
$19,332 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.**The Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) passed the House on July 14, 2026, by a 308-117 bipartisan vote, advancing a measure to make daylight saving time permanent nationwide and eliminate biannual clock changes under the Uniform Time Act.** President Trump has publicly backed the bill, and 19 states have enacted supporting measures contingent on federal action.
However, after referral to the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee on July 15, the legislation has seen no floor vote or committee advancement as of late August. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has expressed uncertainty about sufficient support, while Sen. Tom Cotton and others have raised concerns over later winter sunrises affecting schools, commuters, and northern states. With the Senate in recess until mid-September and the next scheduled clock change set for November 1, 2026, enactment this year remains unlikely.
Traders assign an 84.5% probability to “No” based on this Senate bottleneck and the narrow remaining legislative window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Volume
$19,332End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.**The Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) passed the House on July 14, 2026, by a 308-117 bipartisan vote, advancing a measure to make daylight saving time permanent nationwide and eliminate biannual clock changes under the Uniform Time Act.** President Trump has publicly backed the bill, and 19 states have enacted supporting measures contingent on federal action.
However, after referral to the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee on July 15, the legislation has seen no floor vote or committee advancement as of late August. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has expressed uncertainty about sufficient support, while Sen. Tom Cotton and others have raised concerns over later winter sunrises affecting schools, commuters, and northern states. With the Senate in recess until mid-September and the next scheduled clock change set for November 1, 2026, enactment this year remains unlikely.
Traders assign an 84.5% probability to “No” based on this Senate bottleneck and the narrow remaining legislative window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$19,332End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) passed the House on July 14, 2026, by a 308-117 bipartisan vote, advancing a measure to make daylight saving time permanent nationwide and eliminate biannual clock changes under the Uniform Time Act.** President Trump has publicly backed the bill, and 19 states have enacted supporting measures contingent on federal action. However, after referral to the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee on July 15, the legislation has seen no floor vote or committee advancement as of late August. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has expressed uncertainty about sufficient support, while Sen. Tom Cotton and others have raised concerns over later winter sunrises affecting schools, commuters, and northern states. With the Senate in recess until mid-September and the next scheduled clock change set for November 1, 2026, enactment this year remains unlikely. Traders assign an 84.5% probability to “No” based on this Senate bottleneck and the narrow remaining legislative window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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