The 2026 House midterm turnout market clusters tightly around 115-125 million votes because historical midterm participation rates and current conditions point to moderate engagement without extreme mobilization. Democrats hold a national generic ballot edge and show stronger special-election enthusiasm, while Republican base turnout faces typical off-year headwinds. Primary participation through mid-2026 has varied by state, with some exceeding recent benchmarks, yet overall registration and early voting trends remain steady. Redistricting battles and competitive districts could boost local turnout, but economic conditions, campaign spending, and get-out-the-vote operations by both parties represent the main variables that could push totals higher or lower before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated120-125m 27%
115-120m 21%
125-130m 15%
110-115m 12%
$23,454 Vol.
$23,454 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
2%
85-90m
1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
2%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
21%
120-125m
27%
125-130m
15%
130m+
11%
120-125m 27%
115-120m 21%
125-130m 15%
110-115m 12%
$23,454 Vol.
$23,454 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$572 Vol.
2%
85-90m
$599 Vol.
1%
90-95m
$1,723 Vol.
3%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$978 Vol.
2%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
7%
110-115m
$3,928 Vol.
12%
115-120m
$3,988 Vol.
21%
120-125m
$7,221 Vol.
27%
125-130m
$2,323 Vol.
15%
130m+
$812 Vol.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The 2026 House midterm turnout market clusters tightly around 115-125 million votes because historical midterm participation rates and current conditions point to moderate engagement without extreme mobilization. Democrats hold a national generic ballot edge and show stronger special-election enthusiasm, while Republican base turnout faces typical off-year headwinds. Primary participation through mid-2026 has varied by state, with some exceeding recent benchmarks, yet overall registration and early voting trends remain steady. Redistricting battles and competitive districts could boost local turnout, but economic conditions, campaign spending, and get-out-the-vote operations by both parties represent the main variables that could push totals higher or lower before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$23,454End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The 2026 House midterm turnout market clusters tightly around 115-125 million votes because historical midterm participation rates and current conditions point to moderate engagement without extreme mobilization. Democrats hold a national generic ballot edge and show stronger special-election enthusiasm, while Republican base turnout faces typical off-year headwinds. Primary participation through mid-2026 has varied by state, with some exceeding recent benchmarks, yet overall registration and early voting trends remain steady. Redistricting battles and competitive districts could boost local turnout, but economic conditions, campaign spending, and get-out-the-vote operations by both parties represent the main variables that could push totals higher or lower before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$23,454End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 House midterm turnout market clusters tightly around 115-125 million votes because historical midterm participation rates and current conditions point to moderate engagement without extreme mobilization. Democrats hold a national generic ballot edge and show stronger special-election enthusiasm, while Republican base turnout faces typical off-year headwinds. Primary participation through mid-2026 has varied by state, with some exceeding recent benchmarks, yet overall registration and early voting trends remain steady. Redistricting battles and competitive districts could boost local turnout, but economic conditions, campaign spending, and get-out-the-vote operations by both parties represent the main variables that could push totals higher or lower before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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