Democrats' strong positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms drives trader consensus on a 67% probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, blocking near-term action despite multiple Democratic resolutions introduced since early 2025. A House flip would empower the opposition to set the agenda, advance investigations, and bring articles to a floor vote, consistent with prior patterns when the opposing party gained control. President Trump has publicly stated that Democratic midterm gains would lead to impeachment proceedings, while polling shows majority voter support for the step. Short-term contracts through late 2026 remain near 2%, reflecting the current institutional barriers and timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated68% chance
$94,218 Vol.
$94,218 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
68% chance
$94,218 Vol.
$94,218 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms drives trader consensus on a 67% probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, blocking near-term action despite multiple Democratic resolutions introduced since early 2025. A House flip would empower the opposition to set the agenda, advance investigations, and bring articles to a floor vote, consistent with prior patterns when the opposing party gained control. President Trump has publicly stated that Democratic midterm gains would lead to impeachment proceedings, while polling shows majority voter support for the step. Short-term contracts through late 2026 remain near 2%, reflecting the current institutional barriers and timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$94,218End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms drives trader consensus on a 67% probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, blocking near-term action despite multiple Democratic resolutions introduced since early 2025. A House flip would empower the opposition to set the agenda, advance investigations, and bring articles to a floor vote, consistent with prior patterns when the opposing party gained control. President Trump has publicly stated that Democratic midterm gains would lead to impeachment proceedings, while polling shows majority voter support for the step. Short-term contracts through late 2026 remain near 2%, reflecting the current institutional barriers and timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$94,218End Date
Jan 20, 2029Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats' strong positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms drives trader consensus on a 67% probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, blocking near-term action despite multiple Democratic resolutions introduced since early 2025. A House flip would empower the opposition to set the agenda, advance investigations, and bring articles to a floor vote, consistent with prior patterns when the opposing party gained control. President Trump has publicly stated that Democratic midterm gains would lead to impeachment proceedings, while polling shows majority voter support for the step. Short-term contracts through late 2026 remain near 2%, reflecting the current institutional barriers and timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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