Republican control of the House through the 119th Congress makes articles of impeachment unlikely before the November 2026 midterms, as unified GOP majorities have advanced no such measures despite occasional Democratic resolutions. Democrats hold strong favor to regain the chamber, yet the new Congress convenes only in January 2027—after the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline—leaving no procedural window for action. Trader consensus at 97.8% No reflects this calendar constraint and the absence of cross-aisle support for proceedings. Late developments such as an unexpected lame-duck vote or sudden Republican internal shifts remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current legislative dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$1,004,589 Vol.
$1,004,589 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
2% chance
$1,004,589 Vol.
$1,004,589 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the 119th Congress makes articles of impeachment unlikely before the November 2026 midterms, as unified GOP majorities have advanced no such measures despite occasional Democratic resolutions. Democrats hold strong favor to regain the chamber, yet the new Congress convenes only in January 2027—after the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline—leaving no procedural window for action. Trader consensus at 97.8% No reflects this calendar constraint and the absence of cross-aisle support for proceedings. Late developments such as an unexpected lame-duck vote or sudden Republican internal shifts remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current legislative dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,004,589End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the 119th Congress makes articles of impeachment unlikely before the November 2026 midterms, as unified GOP majorities have advanced no such measures despite occasional Democratic resolutions. Democrats hold strong favor to regain the chamber, yet the new Congress convenes only in January 2027—after the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline—leaving no procedural window for action. Trader consensus at 97.8% No reflects this calendar constraint and the absence of cross-aisle support for proceedings. Late developments such as an unexpected lame-duck vote or sudden Republican internal shifts remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current legislative dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$1,004,589End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House through the 119th Congress makes articles of impeachment unlikely before the November 2026 midterms, as unified GOP majorities have advanced no such measures despite occasional Democratic resolutions. Democrats hold strong favor to regain the chamber, yet the new Congress convenes only in January 2027—after the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline—leaving no procedural window for action. Trader consensus at 97.8% No reflects this calendar constraint and the absence of cross-aisle support for proceedings. Late developments such as an unexpected lame-duck vote or sudden Republican internal shifts remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence from current legislative dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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