Negotiations between the United States and Iran produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that outlined a path to a final agreement and referenced endorsement by a binding UN Security Council resolution within a 60-day window. That interim framework quickly unraveled in July amid renewed Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz, mutual accusations of violations, and the collapse of the associated ceasefire. As of mid-August, formal talks remain suspended, with only indirect messaging through intermediaries reported and no revival of the memorandum achieved. Earlier UNSC action in March 2026 focused on condemning Iranian strikes rather than advancing diplomacy, while longstanding sanctions snapback measures and regional opposition continue to complicate any comprehensive nuclear or sanctions framework. These stalled bilateral dynamics underpin trader expectations that no endorsing resolution will pass by year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
14% chance
$175,696 Vol.
$175,696 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
14% chance
$175,696 Vol.
$175,696 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations between the United States and Iran produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that outlined a path to a final agreement and referenced endorsement by a binding UN Security Council resolution within a 60-day window. That interim framework quickly unraveled in July amid renewed Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz, mutual accusations of violations, and the collapse of the associated ceasefire. As of mid-August, formal talks remain suspended, with only indirect messaging through intermediaries reported and no revival of the memorandum achieved. Earlier UNSC action in March 2026 focused on condemning Iranian strikes rather than advancing diplomacy, while longstanding sanctions snapback measures and regional opposition continue to complicate any comprehensive nuclear or sanctions framework. These stalled bilateral dynamics underpin trader expectations that no endorsing resolution will pass by year-end.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$175,696End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations between the United States and Iran produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that outlined a path to a final agreement and referenced endorsement by a binding UN Security Council resolution within a 60-day window. That interim framework quickly unraveled in July amid renewed Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz, mutual accusations of violations, and the collapse of the associated ceasefire. As of mid-August, formal talks remain suspended, with only indirect messaging through intermediaries reported and no revival of the memorandum achieved. Earlier UNSC action in March 2026 focused on condemning Iranian strikes rather than advancing diplomacy, while longstanding sanctions snapback measures and regional opposition continue to complicate any comprehensive nuclear or sanctions framework. These stalled bilateral dynamics underpin trader expectations that no endorsing resolution will pass by year-end.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$175,696End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the United States and Iran produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that outlined a path to a final agreement and referenced endorsement by a binding UN Security Council resolution within a 60-day window. That interim framework quickly unraveled in July amid renewed Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz, mutual accusations of violations, and the collapse of the associated ceasefire. As of mid-August, formal talks remain suspended, with only indirect messaging through intermediaries reported and no revival of the memorandum achieved. Earlier UNSC action in March 2026 focused on condemning Iranian strikes rather than advancing diplomacy, while longstanding sanctions snapback measures and regional opposition continue to complicate any comprehensive nuclear or sanctions framework. These stalled bilateral dynamics underpin trader expectations that no endorsing resolution will pass by year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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