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icon for 2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

icon for 2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

Polymarket

$24,211 Vol.

Polymarket

$24,211 Vol.

Tim O'Hare

$22,735 Vol.

67%

Alisa Simmons

$1,476 Vol.

28%

The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.**Tim O’Hare holds a clear edge in the 2026 Tarrant County Judge race as the Republican incumbent facing Democrat Alisa Simmons on November 3.** Both candidates secured their party nominations in March primaries—O’Hare with nearly 88% against a challenger and Simmons with about 61%—setting up a head-to-head contest for the position that leads the county commissioners court. Trader pricing reflects O’Hare’s advantages in campaign resources, with reports showing him holding over $700,000 cash on hand compared to Simmons’ roughly $67,000 as of mid-July filings. This disparity supports expanded voter outreach for the incumbent. Simmons, a sitting precinct commissioner, has emphasized issues such as fiscal oversight and public safety accountability, while O’Hare highlights tax relief measures, budget reductions, and law enforcement funding implemented during his term. Recent developments include ongoing campaign finance contrasts and disputes over proposed polling site reductions, which both sides have used to mobilize supporters ahead of early voting in October. Tarrant County’s Republican tilt and O’Hare’s primary dominance have positioned him as the leading outcome in the market, though the general election remains the decisive factor with weeks remaining before ballots are cast.

The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
Volume
$24,211
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.**Tim O’Hare holds a clear edge in the 2026 Tarrant County Judge race as the Republican incumbent facing Democrat Alisa Simmons on November 3.** Both candidates secured their party nominations in March primaries—O’Hare with nearly 88% against a challenger and Simmons with about 61%—setting up a head-to-head contest for the position that leads the county commissioners court. Trader pricing reflects O’Hare’s advantages in campaign resources, with reports showing him holding over $700,000 cash on hand compared to Simmons’ roughly $67,000 as of mid-July filings. This disparity supports expanded voter outreach for the incumbent. Simmons, a sitting precinct commissioner, has emphasized issues such as fiscal oversight and public safety accountability, while O’Hare highlights tax relief measures, budget reductions, and law enforcement funding implemented during his term. Recent developments include ongoing campaign finance contrasts and disputes over proposed polling site reductions, which both sides have used to mobilize supporters ahead of early voting in October. Tarrant County’s Republican tilt and O’Hare’s primary dominance have positioned him as the leading outcome in the market, though the general election remains the decisive factor with weeks remaining before ballots are cast.

The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
Volume
$24,211
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tim O'Hare" at 67%, followed by "Alisa Simmons" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner" has generated $24.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner" is "Tim O'Hare" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alisa Simmons" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.