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Politics·Global Elections

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 16%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz 9%

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 9%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 16%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz 9%

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 9%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy 9%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

$1,384 Vol.

16%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

$87 Vol.

9%

icon for Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

$87 Vol.

9%

icon for Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

$71 Vol.

9%

icon for Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

$87 Vol.

9%

icon for Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

$175 Vol.

8%

icon for Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

$226 Vol.

8%

icon for Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

$129 Vol.

7%

icon for Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

$97 Vol.

6%

icon for Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

$107 Vol.

6%

icon for Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

$189 Vol.

6%

icon for Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

$95 Vol.

6%

icon for Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

$94 Vol.

6%

icon for Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

$128 Vol.

6%

icon for Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

$91 Vol.

5%

icon for José Miguel Briones Silva

José Miguel Briones Silva

$91 Vol.

5%

icon for Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

$71 Vol.

5%

icon for Isidro Flores Sosa

Isidro Flores Sosa

$107 Vol.

2%

icon for Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

$107 Vol.

12%

icon for Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

$107 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of over a dozen candidates for Arequipa’s October 4, 2026, municipal election has produced a fragmented contest reflected in trader pricing, with no candidate exceeding low-20s implied probability. Recent July polls showed Manuel Vera, Renzo Salas, and Ricardo Ramírez among the front-runners, though support remained dispersed across parties and independents. Key dynamics include limited name recognition for many contenders, local priorities such as infrastructure, water management, and urban growth, plus procedural hurdles like candidate list validations that have affected visibility for figures including Jorge Reyes. With six weeks remaining, further campaign events, endorsements, or shifts in turnout expectations among key districts could consolidate support and alter the current balance among the leading names.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$3,529
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of over a dozen candidates for Arequipa’s October 4, 2026, municipal election has produced a fragmented contest reflected in trader pricing, with no candidate exceeding low-20s implied probability. Recent July polls showed Manuel Vera, Renzo Salas, and Ricardo Ramírez among the front-runners, though support remained dispersed across parties and independents. Key dynamics include limited name recognition for many contenders, local priorities such as infrastructure, water management, and urban growth, plus procedural hurdles like candidate list validations that have affected visibility for figures including Jorge Reyes. With six weeks remaining, further campaign events, endorsements, or shifts in turnout expectations among key districts could consolidate support and alter the current balance among the leading names.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$3,529
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa" at 16%, followed by "Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" is "Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.