Skip to main content
icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova 76%

Аndrey Gyurov 21%

Nikolai Denkov 1.3%

Kostadin Kostadinov <1%

Polymarket

$337,778 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 76%

Аndrey Gyurov 21%

Nikolai Denkov 1.3%

Kostadin Kostadinov <1%

Polymarket

$337,778 Vol.

icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$121,996 Vol.

76%

icon for Аndrey Gyurov

Аndrey Gyurov

$24,204 Vol.

21%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$31,227 Vol.

1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$13,926 Vol.

1%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$13,132 Vol.

1%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$11,188 Vol.

1%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$28,696 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$31,067 Vol.

<1%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$15,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$11,820 Vol.

<1%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$9,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$8,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$8,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$9,040 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova holds a dominant position in the October 25, 2026, Bulgarian presidential election due to her elevation from vice president following Rumen Radev’s January 2026 resignation and the subsequent endorsement by his Progressive Bulgaria party, which secured a parliamentary majority in the April 2026 vote. This backing from the largest bloc, combined with her established national profile after nearly a decade in the presidency and vice presidency, underpins trader consensus around 75%. Andrey Gyurov, appointed caretaker prime minister by Iotova in February 2026, emerges as the clearest alternative with support from elements of the PP-DB opposition, reflected in his roughly 21% implied probability. Other declared or potential candidates, including Nikolai Denkov and Kostadin Kostadinov, register minimal backing amid a fragmented field shaped by Bulgaria’s recent cycle of snap parliamentary elections and coalition instability. Recent polling trends align closely with these probabilities, with limited late shifts observed ahead of the formal campaign.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$337,778
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova holds a dominant position in the October 25, 2026, Bulgarian presidential election due to her elevation from vice president following Rumen Radev’s January 2026 resignation and the subsequent endorsement by his Progressive Bulgaria party, which secured a parliamentary majority in the April 2026 vote. This backing from the largest bloc, combined with her established national profile after nearly a decade in the presidency and vice presidency, underpins trader consensus around 75%. Andrey Gyurov, appointed caretaker prime minister by Iotova in February 2026, emerges as the clearest alternative with support from elements of the PP-DB opposition, reflected in his roughly 21% implied probability. Other declared or potential candidates, including Nikolai Denkov and Kostadin Kostadinov, register minimal backing amid a fragmented field shaped by Bulgaria’s recent cycle of snap parliamentary elections and coalition instability. Recent polling trends align closely with these probabilities, with limited late shifts observed ahead of the formal campaign.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$337,778
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Related

icon for Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?

Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?

21%
icon for Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

78%
icon for Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

63%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 76%, followed by "Аndrey Gyurov" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgaria Presidential Election" has generated $337.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" is "Iliana Iotova" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Аndrey Gyurov" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.