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Elections·Taiwan

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
Elections·Taiwan

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Su-yueh 80%

Wei Ping-cheng 20%

Chiu Chien-fu 2.4%

Lin Shih-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Chen Su-yueh 80%

Wei Ping-cheng 20%

Chiu Chien-fu 2.4%

Lin Shih-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chen Su-yueh

Chen Su-yueh

$2,438 Vol.

80%

icon for Wei Ping-cheng

Wei Ping-cheng

$1,097 Vol.

20%

icon for Chiu Chien-fu

Chiu Chien-fu

$839 Vol.

2%

icon for Lin Shih-hsien

Lin Shih-hsien

$1,229 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hung Jung-chang

Hung Jung-chang

$694 Vol.

<1%

icon for Huang Hsiu-fang

Huang Hsiu-fang

$696 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh, the DPP nominee and sitting legislator from Changhua's 4th district, leads the market at 80% implied probability for the November 2026 Changhua County Magistrate election. Wei Ping-cheng, the KMT nominee drafted in May 2026 after internal deliberations, trails at 20%. Recent polls, including a late-May CNEWS survey, show Chen ahead by double digits in a competitive county that has leaned toward the KMT in recent magistrate races. Analysts note Wei's limited local power-broker support and challenges unifying pan-blue voters, while Chen benefits from established name recognition and party infrastructure despite potential independent challengers such as former DPP mayor Chiu Chien-fu. The pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and polling dynamics heading into the final months of the campaign.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,989
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh, the DPP nominee and sitting legislator from Changhua's 4th district, leads the market at 80% implied probability for the November 2026 Changhua County Magistrate election. Wei Ping-cheng, the KMT nominee drafted in May 2026 after internal deliberations, trails at 20%. Recent polls, including a late-May CNEWS survey, show Chen ahead by double digits in a competitive county that has leaned toward the KMT in recent magistrate races. Analysts note Wei's limited local power-broker support and challenges unifying pan-blue voters, while Chen benefits from established name recognition and party infrastructure despite potential independent challengers such as former DPP mayor Chiu Chien-fu. The pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and polling dynamics heading into the final months of the campaign.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,989
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Su-yueh" at 80%, followed by "Wei Ping-cheng" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chen Su-yueh" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wei Ping-cheng" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.