The competitive Colorado 8th District, which Republicans flipped by under one point in 2024, features freshman incumbent Gabe Evans facing Democrat Manny Rutinel after the latter secured the nomination in the June 30 primary. Midterm dynamics under a Republican president, combined with the district's slight Democratic tilt in recent presidential voting and early outside spending by Democratic-aligned groups, underpin trader expectations that the seat leans toward a Democratic pickup. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with key factors including fundraising, voter turnout in suburban and Latino-heavy areas, and any national political shifts before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-08 House Election Winner
CO-08 House Election Winner
$15,008 Vol.
$15,008 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
28%
$15,008 Vol.
$15,008 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,994 Vol.
73%
Republican Party
$7,014 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive Colorado 8th District, which Republicans flipped by under one point in 2024, features freshman incumbent Gabe Evans facing Democrat Manny Rutinel after the latter secured the nomination in the June 30 primary. Midterm dynamics under a Republican president, combined with the district's slight Democratic tilt in recent presidential voting and early outside spending by Democratic-aligned groups, underpin trader expectations that the seat leans toward a Democratic pickup. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with key factors including fundraising, voter turnout in suburban and Latino-heavy areas, and any national political shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$15,008End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive Colorado 8th District, which Republicans flipped by under one point in 2024, features freshman incumbent Gabe Evans facing Democrat Manny Rutinel after the latter secured the nomination in the June 30 primary. Midterm dynamics under a Republican president, combined with the district's slight Democratic tilt in recent presidential voting and early outside spending by Democratic-aligned groups, underpin trader expectations that the seat leans toward a Democratic pickup. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with key factors including fundraising, voter turnout in suburban and Latino-heavy areas, and any national political shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,008End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive Colorado 8th District, which Republicans flipped by under one point in 2024, features freshman incumbent Gabe Evans facing Democrat Manny Rutinel after the latter secured the nomination in the June 30 primary. Midterm dynamics under a Republican president, combined with the district's slight Democratic tilt in recent presidential voting and early outside spending by Democratic-aligned groups, underpin trader expectations that the seat leans toward a Democratic pickup. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with key factors including fundraising, voter turnout in suburban and Latino-heavy areas, and any national political shifts before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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