Traders assign the highest implied probability to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 21-28 at 68%, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume activity during politically active periods. The 180-199 bracket follows at 20.5%, with lower ranges receiving minimal support. Current sentiment draws from historical posting rates around legislative sessions, campaign cycles, and news events, which frequently produce daily totals in the mid-20s. With the resolution window now underway and midterms approaching in November 2026, ongoing policy developments and public statements are expected to sustain elevated output through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 68%
180-199 20%
160-179 8.8%
140-159 1.8%
$14,637 Vol.
$14,637 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
2%
160-179
9%
180-199
20%
200+
68%
200+ 68%
180-199 20%
160-179 8.8%
140-159 1.8%
$14,637 Vol.
$14,637 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<20
$510 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$485 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$624 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$344 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$750 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,066 Vol.
1%
120-139
$1,757 Vol.
1%
140-159
$1,566 Vol.
2%
160-179
$2,289 Vol.
9%
180-199
$2,464 Vol.
20%
200+
$2,783 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest implied probability to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 21-28 at 68%, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume activity during politically active periods. The 180-199 bracket follows at 20.5%, with lower ranges receiving minimal support. Current sentiment draws from historical posting rates around legislative sessions, campaign cycles, and news events, which frequently produce daily totals in the mid-20s. With the resolution window now underway and midterms approaching in November 2026, ongoing policy developments and public statements are expected to sustain elevated output through the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$14,637End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest implied probability to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 21-28 at 68%, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume activity during politically active periods. The 180-199 bracket follows at 20.5%, with lower ranges receiving minimal support. Current sentiment draws from historical posting rates around legislative sessions, campaign cycles, and news events, which frequently produce daily totals in the mid-20s. With the resolution window now underway and midterms approaching in November 2026, ongoing policy developments and public statements are expected to sustain elevated output through the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,637End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from August 21-28 at 68%, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume activity during politically active periods. The 180-199 bracket follows at 20.5%, with lower ranges receiving minimal support. Current sentiment draws from historical posting rates around legislative sessions, campaign cycles, and news events, which frequently produce daily totals in the mid-20s. With the resolution window now underway and midterms approaching in November 2026, ongoing policy developments and public statements are expected to sustain elevated output through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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