Republican incumbent Kat Cammack advanced unopposed from the August 18 primary in Florida’s 3rd congressional district and faces Democrat Seth Harp and independent Mike Klein in the November 3 general election. The district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, Cammack’s 61.6 percent victory in 2024, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its established partisan lean and the challenger’s limited fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus for a Republican outcome aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national swing against the incumbent party, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-03 House Election Winner
FL-03 House Election Winner
$29,768 Vol.
$29,768 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$29,768 Vol.
$29,768 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,646 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$18,123 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Kat Cammack advanced unopposed from the August 18 primary in Florida’s 3rd congressional district and faces Democrat Seth Harp and independent Mike Klein in the November 3 general election. The district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, Cammack’s 61.6 percent victory in 2024, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its established partisan lean and the challenger’s limited fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus for a Republican outcome aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national swing against the incumbent party, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$29,768End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Kat Cammack advanced unopposed from the August 18 primary in Florida’s 3rd congressional district and faces Democrat Seth Harp and independent Mike Klein in the November 3 general election. The district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, Cammack’s 61.6 percent victory in 2024, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its established partisan lean and the challenger’s limited fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus for a Republican outcome aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national swing against the incumbent party, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,768End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Kat Cammack advanced unopposed from the August 18 primary in Florida’s 3rd congressional district and faces Democrat Seth Harp and independent Mike Klein in the November 3 general election. The district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, Cammack’s 61.6 percent victory in 2024, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its established partisan lean and the challenger’s limited fundraising and name recognition. Trader consensus for a Republican outcome aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national swing against the incumbent party, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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