Market-implied odds strongly favor A100 80GB rental rates landing in the $1.00–$1.25 per GPU-hour band by month-end because current neo-cloud and marketplace listings cluster tightly around $1.09–$1.76, with low-end providers like Thunder Compute and Vast.ai anchoring near $1.10 amid ample secondary-market supply. Increased availability of Ampere cards, combined with enterprises shifting workloads to newer Blackwell and Hopper GPUs, has kept pricing stable despite persistent AI demand. No major product launches, regulatory changes, or supply shocks are scheduled in the final week of August that would meaningfully alter this equilibrium. A sudden surge in inference demand or unexpected capacity constraints could push rates higher, while accelerated decommissioning of A100 fleets might exert modest downward pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.00-$1.25 94%
$1.25-$1.50 4.1%
$0.75-$1.00 1.4%
<$0.50 <1%
$30,489 Vol.
$30,489 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
<1%
$0.75-$1.00
1%
$1.00-$1.25
94%
$1.25-$1.50
4%
$1.50+
<1%
$1.00-$1.25 94%
$1.25-$1.50 4.1%
$0.75-$1.00 1.4%
<$0.50 <1%
$30,489 Vol.
$30,489 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
<1%
$0.75-$1.00
1%
$1.00-$1.25
94%
$1.25-$1.50
4%
$1.50+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:37 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor A100 80GB rental rates landing in the $1.00–$1.25 per GPU-hour band by month-end because current neo-cloud and marketplace listings cluster tightly around $1.09–$1.76, with low-end providers like Thunder Compute and Vast.ai anchoring near $1.10 amid ample secondary-market supply. Increased availability of Ampere cards, combined with enterprises shifting workloads to newer Blackwell and Hopper GPUs, has kept pricing stable despite persistent AI demand. No major product launches, regulatory changes, or supply shocks are scheduled in the final week of August that would meaningfully alter this equilibrium. A sudden surge in inference demand or unexpected capacity constraints could push rates higher, while accelerated decommissioning of A100 fleets might exert modest downward pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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