**Trader consensus on A100 rental prices centers on the $1.00–$1.25 per GPU-hour band (69% implied probability) because current marketplace and specialist-cloud rates cluster there amid steady demand for the mature Ampere GPU.** Live listings as of late August 2026 show on-demand floors near $0.89 (e.g., Jarvislabs) and medians around $1.29–$1.90 across providers like Vast.ai, RunPod, and Hyperstack, with spot/interruptible capacity often $0.10–$0.68 lower. Hyperscaler on-demand remains higher at $3+, widening the spread. A100 capacity faces less acute shortage than Hopper or Blackwell chips, yet multi-year contracts extending into 2029 and continued use for inference, fine-tuning, and cost-sensitive workloads support price stability. No major supply shocks or demand collapses have emerged in recent weeks, keeping the market-implied odds anchored in this range through September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.00-$1.25 69%
$0.75-$1.00 22%
$1.25-$1.50 7.0%
$0.50-$0.75 3.3%
$19,290 Vol.
$19,290 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
3%
$0.75-$1.00
22%
$1.00-$1.25
69%
$1.25-$1.50
7%
$1.50+
1%
$1.00-$1.25 69%
$0.75-$1.00 22%
$1.25-$1.50 7.0%
$0.50-$0.75 3.3%
$19,290 Vol.
$19,290 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
3%
$0.75-$1.00
22%
$1.00-$1.25
69%
$1.25-$1.50
7%
$1.50+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:37 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on A100 rental prices centers on the $1.00–$1.25 per GPU-hour band (69% implied probability) because current marketplace and specialist-cloud rates cluster there amid steady demand for the mature Ampere GPU.** Live listings as of late August 2026 show on-demand floors near $0.89 (e.g., Jarvislabs) and medians around $1.29–$1.90 across providers like Vast.ai, RunPod, and Hyperstack, with spot/interruptible capacity often $0.10–$0.68 lower. Hyperscaler on-demand remains higher at $3+, widening the spread. A100 capacity faces less acute shortage than Hopper or Blackwell chips, yet multi-year contracts extending into 2029 and continued use for inference, fine-tuning, and cost-sensitive workloads support price stability. No major supply shocks or demand collapses have emerged in recent weeks, keeping the market-implied odds anchored in this range through September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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