Abundant supply of mature A100 GPUs across dozens of cloud providers, combined with shifting AI workloads toward newer Hopper and Blackwell chips, anchors trader consensus around the $1.00-$1.25 hourly rental band at end-October. Current on-demand rates cluster near $0.89–$1.90 per GPU-hour with spot availability dipping to $0.68, while median marketplace benchmarks sit around $1.36. Capacity crunches in HBM memory and advanced packaging continue to constrain flagship supply and support baseline demand for A100 inference and fine-tuning, yet no acute shortages or policy shocks have emerged recently to push prices sharply higher or lower. Traders view the narrow trading range as reflecting stable availability through the fall, tempered by the possibility of last-minute hyperscaler purchases or inference demand spikes altering the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.00-$1.25 61%
$0.75-$1.00 19%
$1.25-$1.50 14%
$1.50+ 1.4%
$11,341 Vol.
$11,341 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
<1%
$0.75-$1.00
19%
$1.00-$1.25
61%
$1.25-$1.50
14%
$1.50+
1%
$1.00-$1.25 61%
$0.75-$1.00 19%
$1.25-$1.50 14%
$1.50+ 1.4%
$11,341 Vol.
$11,341 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
<1%
$0.75-$1.00
19%
$1.00-$1.25
61%
$1.25-$1.50
14%
$1.50+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abundant supply of mature A100 GPUs across dozens of cloud providers, combined with shifting AI workloads toward newer Hopper and Blackwell chips, anchors trader consensus around the $1.00-$1.25 hourly rental band at end-October. Current on-demand rates cluster near $0.89–$1.90 per GPU-hour with spot availability dipping to $0.68, while median marketplace benchmarks sit around $1.36. Capacity crunches in HBM memory and advanced packaging continue to constrain flagship supply and support baseline demand for A100 inference and fine-tuning, yet no acute shortages or policy shocks have emerged recently to push prices sharply higher or lower. Traders view the narrow trading range as reflecting stable availability through the fall, tempered by the possibility of last-minute hyperscaler purchases or inference demand spikes altering the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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