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Politics·Mexico

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

icon for Guerrero Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Beatriz Mojica Morga 45.5%

Esthela Damián Peralta 32.1%

Guadalupe Eguiluz 6.6%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo 5.4%

Polymarket

$19,530 Vol.

Beatriz Mojica Morga 45.5%

Esthela Damián Peralta 32.1%

Guadalupe Eguiluz 6.6%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo 5.4%

Polymarket

$19,530 Vol.

icon for Beatriz Mojica Morga

Beatriz Mojica Morga

$8,604 Vol.

46%

icon for Esthela Damián Peralta

Esthela Damián Peralta

$456 Vol.

32%

icon for Guadalupe Eguiluz

Guadalupe Eguiluz

$218 Vol.

7%

icon for Karen Castrejón Trujillo

Karen Castrejón Trujillo

$235 Vol.

5%

icon for Mario Moreno Arcos

Mario Moreno Arcos

$296 Vol.

5%

icon for Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros

$4,028 Vol.

5%

icon for Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos

$236 Vol.

5%

icon for Eloy Salmerón Díaz

Eloy Salmerón Díaz

$271 Vol.

4%

icon for Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña

$213 Vol.

4%

icon for Alberto López Rosas

Alberto López Rosas

$257 Vol.

2%

icon for Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz

$212 Vol.

2%

icon for Manuel Añorve Baños

Manuel Añorve Baños

$315 Vol.

6%

icon for Rogelio Ortega Martínez

Rogelio Ortega Martínez

$259 Vol.

2%

icon for Evodio Velázquez Aguirre

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre

$283 Vol.

2%

icon for Yesenia Galarza Castro

Yesenia Galarza Castro

$253 Vol.

1%

icon for Iván Hernández Díaz

Iván Hernández Díaz

$239 Vol.

1%

icon for Héctor Astudillo Flores

Héctor Astudillo Flores

$283 Vol.

1%

icon for Gustavo Alarcón Herrera

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera

$302 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Saldaña Almazán

Javier Saldaña Almazán

$229 Vol.

1%

icon for Erika Lorena Lührs

Erika Lorena Lührs

$226 Vol.

1%

icon for Julián López Galeana

Julián López Galeana

$269 Vol.

1%

icon for Carlos Reyes Torres

Carlos Reyes Torres

$220 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abelina López Rodríguez

Abelina López Rodríguez

$347 Vol.

<1%

icon for Félix Salgado Macedonio

Félix Salgado Macedonio

$249 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Cayetano García

Rubén Cayetano García

$254 Vol.

<1%

icon for Genaro Vázquez Flores

Genaro Vázquez Flores

$235 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez

$333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alejandro Bravo Abarca

Alejandro Bravo Abarca

$211 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Beatriz Mojica Morga holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race at 45.5 percent, ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta at 32.1 percent, reflecting her stronger showings in June and July 2026 internal preference surveys within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition. Sixteen aspirants formally registered for the party’s internal selection process in late June, creating a crowded field that includes figures such as Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros, Abelina López Rodríguez, and Karen Castrejón Trujillo. High undecided shares in available polling and the absence of a finalized shortlist or definitive survey round keep probabilities from consolidating further. Upcoming internal surveys, coalition negotiations, and any shifts in state-level endorsements could widen gaps among the frontrunners before the nomination is settled.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$19,530
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Beatriz Mojica Morga holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race at 45.5 percent, ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta at 32.1 percent, reflecting her stronger showings in June and July 2026 internal preference surveys within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition. Sixteen aspirants formally registered for the party’s internal selection process in late June, creating a crowded field that includes figures such as Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros, Abelina López Rodríguez, and Karen Castrejón Trujillo. High undecided shares in available polling and the absence of a finalized shortlist or definitive survey round keep probabilities from consolidating further. Upcoming internal surveys, coalition negotiations, and any shifts in state-level endorsements could widen gaps among the frontrunners before the nomination is settled.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$19,530
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Guerrero Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Beatriz Mojica Morga" at 46%, followed by "Esthela Damián Peralta" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" has generated $19.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Guerrero Governor Election Winner," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" is "Beatriz Mojica Morga" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Esthela Damián Peralta" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guerrero Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.