Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs and observational data, indicate a high temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5, 2026, most likely reaching 12–13 °C under southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies associated with a cooler air mass. This setup, featuring dry conditions and moderate wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, suppresses daytime warming relative to the September climatological average high near 19 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 13 °C outcome at 67.5 % implied probability, aligns with these official guidance trends, while the secondary 14 °C probability at 24.5 % accounts for minor model variability or localized urban heating effects. With resolution imminent based on the day’s maximum reading from standard monitoring stations, further updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional could refine the exact threshold if afternoon temperatures edge higher than current projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?
13°C 68%
14°C 25%
12°C 7%
11°C 2%
$13,660 Vol.
$13,660 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
68%
14°C
25%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 68%
14°C 25%
12°C 7%
11°C 2%
$13,660 Vol.
$13,660 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
$495 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$648 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,887 Vol.
7%
13°C
$4,142 Vol.
68%
14°C
$3,378 Vol.
25%
15°C
$1,196 Vol.
2%
16°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs and observational data, indicate a high temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5, 2026, most likely reaching 12–13 °C under southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies associated with a cooler air mass. This setup, featuring dry conditions and moderate wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, suppresses daytime warming relative to the September climatological average high near 19 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 13 °C outcome at 67.5 % implied probability, aligns with these official guidance trends, while the secondary 14 °C probability at 24.5 % accounts for minor model variability or localized urban heating effects. With resolution imminent based on the day’s maximum reading from standard monitoring stations, further updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional could refine the exact threshold if afternoon temperatures edge higher than current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$13,660End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs and observational data, indicate a high temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5, 2026, most likely reaching 12–13 °C under southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies associated with a cooler air mass. This setup, featuring dry conditions and moderate wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, suppresses daytime warming relative to the September climatological average high near 19 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 13 °C outcome at 67.5 % implied probability, aligns with these official guidance trends, while the secondary 14 °C probability at 24.5 % accounts for minor model variability or localized urban heating effects. With resolution imminent based on the day’s maximum reading from standard monitoring stations, further updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional could refine the exact threshold if afternoon temperatures edge higher than current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,660End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model runs and observational data, indicate a high temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5, 2026, most likely reaching 12–13 °C under southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies associated with a cooler air mass. This setup, featuring dry conditions and moderate wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, suppresses daytime warming relative to the September climatological average high near 19 °C. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 13 °C outcome at 67.5 % implied probability, aligns with these official guidance trends, while the secondary 14 °C probability at 24.5 % accounts for minor model variability or localized urban heating effects. With resolution imminent based on the day’s maximum reading from standard monitoring stations, further updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional could refine the exact threshold if afternoon temperatures edge higher than current projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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