Current forecast guidance from global and regional models indicates a cool, mostly sunny day in Buenos Aires on September 6 under southerly flow behind a recent cold front, with afternoon highs expected near 9–10 °C and light winds limiting mixing. Dry conditions and clear skies overnight have set up modest daytime warming, though climatological September averages hover around 19 °C maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54 % implied probability for 11 °C and 23 % for 10 °C, appears to incorporate slight upward bias from potential model adjustments or localized urban heat effects ahead of the next National Meteorological Service update. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the central observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
11°C 55%
10°C 23%
12°C 12%
9°C 6%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
23%
11°C
55%
12°C
12%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 55%
10°C 23%
12°C 12%
9°C 6%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
23%
11°C
55%
12°C
12%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from global and regional models indicates a cool, mostly sunny day in Buenos Aires on September 6 under southerly flow behind a recent cold front, with afternoon highs expected near 9–10 °C and light winds limiting mixing. Dry conditions and clear skies overnight have set up modest daytime warming, though climatological September averages hover around 19 °C maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54 % implied probability for 11 °C and 23 % for 10 °C, appears to incorporate slight upward bias from potential model adjustments or localized urban heat effects ahead of the next National Meteorological Service update. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the central observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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