**Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Dallas on September 6 project a high near 100°F under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southeast winds.** This setup favors strong daytime heating well above the 1991–2020 average of 92.5°F, with recent days showing highs of 99–100°F and heat indices exceeding 105°F due to surface humidity. The near-even split between 98–99°F and 100–101°F market outcomes reflects model and observational uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind mixing, or boundary-layer moisture. No significant cooling fronts or precipitation are expected in the next 24 hours, keeping the focus on these small-scale variables ahead of the official observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 45%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 3%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 45%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 3%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Dallas on September 6 project a high near 100°F under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southeast winds.** This setup favors strong daytime heating well above the 1991–2020 average of 92.5°F, with recent days showing highs of 99–100°F and heat indices exceeding 105°F due to surface humidity. The near-even split between 98–99°F and 100–101°F market outcomes reflects model and observational uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind mixing, or boundary-layer moisture. No significant cooling fronts or precipitation are expected in the next 24 hours, keeping the focus on these small-scale variables ahead of the official observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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