**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local meteorological services project a daily high near 100°F for Dallas on September 5, 2026, under sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes of 98–99°F (54.5%) and 100–101°F (28.0%), as persistent high-pressure conditions and above-normal seasonal temperatures support readings in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent days have seen highs of 99–100°F, reinforcing trader consensus around this range amid stable atmospheric patterns. Light winds limit mixing while clear conditions maximize daytime heating; heat-index values near 105–107°F reflect elevated humidity but do not alter the maximum temperature resolution. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will determine final settlement within these tight bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 5?
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 3.3%
$28,432 Vol.
$28,432 Vol.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
3%
104°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 3.3%
$28,432 Vol.
$28,432 Vol.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
3%
104°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local meteorological services project a daily high near 100°F for Dallas on September 5, 2026, under sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes of 98–99°F (54.5%) and 100–101°F (28.0%), as persistent high-pressure conditions and above-normal seasonal temperatures support readings in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent days have seen highs of 99–100°F, reinforcing trader consensus around this range amid stable atmospheric patterns. Light winds limit mixing while clear conditions maximize daytime heating; heat-index values near 105–107°F reflect elevated humidity but do not alter the maximum temperature resolution. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will determine final settlement within these tight bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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