**Forecast models and current observations position Denver's September 5 high in the low 90s, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 92-93°F (52%) and 90-91°F (39.5%).** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs show a mostly sunny to partly cloudy day with highs near 92–94°F under light winds and low humidity, conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent model consensus has held steady in this range, with limited spread from afternoon cloud development or isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap the peak slightly lower. Traders are pricing in this data-driven outcome while assigning minimal probability to extremes outside 88–95°F, reflecting the tight clustering of authoritative forecasts and the absence of major atmospheric shifts in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on September 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 5?
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 7%
94-95°F 3%
$23,277 Vol.
$23,277 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 40%
88-89°F 7%
94-95°F 3%
$23,277 Vol.
$23,277 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
79°F or below
$846 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$841 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,706 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$788 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,852 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,549 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$5,781 Vol.
40%
92-93°F
$6,011 Vol.
52%
94-95°F
$2,046 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$636 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position Denver's September 5 high in the low 90s, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 92-93°F (52%) and 90-91°F (39.5%).** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs show a mostly sunny to partly cloudy day with highs near 92–94°F under light winds and low humidity, conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent model consensus has held steady in this range, with limited spread from afternoon cloud development or isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap the peak slightly lower. Traders are pricing in this data-driven outcome while assigning minimal probability to extremes outside 88–95°F, reflecting the tight clustering of authoritative forecasts and the absence of major atmospheric shifts in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,277End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position Denver's September 5 high in the low 90s, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 92-93°F (52%) and 90-91°F (39.5%).** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs show a mostly sunny to partly cloudy day with highs near 92–94°F under light winds and low humidity, conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent model consensus has held steady in this range, with limited spread from afternoon cloud development or isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap the peak slightly lower. Traders are pricing in this data-driven outcome while assigning minimal probability to extremes outside 88–95°F, reflecting the tight clustering of authoritative forecasts and the absence of major atmospheric shifts in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,277End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current observations position Denver's September 5 high in the low 90s, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 92-93°F (52%) and 90-91°F (39.5%).** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs show a mostly sunny to partly cloudy day with highs near 92–94°F under light winds and low humidity, conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent model consensus has held steady in this range, with limited spread from afternoon cloud development or isolated thunderstorm chances that could cap the peak slightly lower. Traders are pricing in this data-driven outcome while assigning minimal probability to extremes outside 88–95°F, reflecting the tight clustering of authoritative forecasts and the absence of major atmospheric shifts in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions