Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate a Sunday high near 93°F for Denver, with trader consensus clustering on 90–93°F ranges due to modest afternoon instability from southeasterly flow and 20–30% thunderstorm chances that could cap peak temperatures through cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Recent early-September warmth, including 93–94°F readings on the prior two days, supports this outlook against a 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 83°F. Key variables include precise timing of convective initiation and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the maximum by 2–3°F depending on whether storms develop before or after peak heating. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on September 6?
90-91°F 44%
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 10%
88-89°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 44%
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 10%
88-89°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate a Sunday high near 93°F for Denver, with trader consensus clustering on 90–93°F ranges due to modest afternoon instability from southeasterly flow and 20–30% thunderstorm chances that could cap peak temperatures through cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Recent early-September warmth, including 93–94°F readings on the prior two days, supports this outlook against a 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 83°F. Key variables include precise timing of convective initiation and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the maximum by 2–3°F depending on whether storms develop before or after peak heating. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the afternoon will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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