Forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 32–35°C for Guangzhou on September 7, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 32.6°C for that date and the historical record of 35.2°C. Recent conditions show highs near 32–33°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, with forecasts indicating partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a 40–68% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. Model consensus points to modest warming if rain holds off, supporting market-implied odds favoring 35°C as the most probable outcome while acknowledging uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
35°C 43%
36°C 31%
34°C 17%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
17%
35°C
43%
36°C
31%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 31%
34°C 17%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
$36 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$66 Vol.
3%
33°C
$84 Vol.
8%
34°C
$142 Vol.
17%
35°C
$598 Vol.
43%
36°C
$352 Vol.
31%
37°C
$61 Vol.
5%
38°C
$33 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 32–35°C for Guangzhou on September 7, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 32.6°C for that date and the historical record of 35.2°C. Recent conditions show highs near 32–33°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, with forecasts indicating partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a 40–68% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. Model consensus points to modest warming if rain holds off, supporting market-implied odds favoring 35°C as the most probable outcome while acknowledging uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,458End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 32–35°C for Guangzhou on September 7, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 32.6°C for that date and the historical record of 35.2°C. Recent conditions show highs near 32–33°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, with forecasts indicating partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a 40–68% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. Model consensus points to modest warming if rain holds off, supporting market-implied odds favoring 35°C as the most probable outcome while acknowledging uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,458End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 32–35°C for Guangzhou on September 7, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 32.6°C for that date and the historical record of 35.2°C. Recent conditions show highs near 32–33°C amid scattered showers and high humidity, with forecasts indicating partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a 40–68% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. Model consensus points to modest warming if rain holds off, supporting market-implied odds favoring 35°C as the most probable outcome while acknowledging uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and cloud cover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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