Recent weather models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with lingering moisture from prior systems. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.7°C while reducing the likelihood of stronger subtropical high influence that could push readings to 34°C or above. Official guidance notes 17–70% precipitation chances moderating peak temperatures, with historical September 6 extremes ranging from 26.9°C to 36.0°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting model consensus and limited upside from variable rainfall. Updated forecasts and radar trends through the day will refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 23%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
37%
33°C
23%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 23%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$460 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$288 Vol.
1%
28°C
$147 Vol.
2%
29°C
$528 Vol.
4%
30°C
$431 Vol.
7%
31°C
$441 Vol.
23%
32°C
$359 Vol.
37%
33°C
$605 Vol.
23%
34°C
$2,821 Vol.
6%
35°C
$832 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$431 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with lingering moisture from prior systems. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.7°C while reducing the likelihood of stronger subtropical high influence that could push readings to 34°C or above. Official guidance notes 17–70% precipitation chances moderating peak temperatures, with historical September 6 extremes ranging from 26.9°C to 36.0°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting model consensus and limited upside from variable rainfall. Updated forecasts and radar trends through the day will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,344End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with lingering moisture from prior systems. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.7°C while reducing the likelihood of stronger subtropical high influence that could push readings to 34°C or above. Official guidance notes 17–70% precipitation chances moderating peak temperatures, with historical September 6 extremes ranging from 26.9°C to 36.0°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting model consensus and limited upside from variable rainfall. Updated forecasts and radar trends through the day will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,344End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with lingering moisture from prior systems. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.7°C while reducing the likelihood of stronger subtropical high influence that could push readings to 34°C or above. Official guidance notes 17–70% precipitation chances moderating peak temperatures, with historical September 6 extremes ranging from 26.9°C to 36.0°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting model consensus and limited upside from variable rainfall. Updated forecasts and radar trends through the day will refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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