Latest forecast model runs from regional meteorological centers show high uncertainty in Guangzhou's overnight minimum for September 6, with ensemble spreads placing the lowest temperature near 24–26 °C. Subtropical high pressure and lingering monsoon moisture create variable cloud cover and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add 1–2 °C to baseline readings. Historical September averages hover around 25 °C, yet recent model shifts in steering flow and boundary-layer humidity have narrowed the gap between 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. Traders await the next CMA and ECMWF updates tomorrow morning for clearer resolution signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
26°C 53%
22°C 50%
27°C 50%
28°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
12%
21°C
7%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
23%
26°C 53%
22°C 50%
27°C 50%
28°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
12%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$73 Vol.
28%
26°C
$57 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from regional meteorological centers show high uncertainty in Guangzhou's overnight minimum for September 6, with ensemble spreads placing the lowest temperature near 24–26 °C. Subtropical high pressure and lingering monsoon moisture create variable cloud cover and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add 1–2 °C to baseline readings. Historical September averages hover around 25 °C, yet recent model shifts in steering flow and boundary-layer humidity have narrowed the gap between 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. Traders await the next CMA and ECMWF updates tomorrow morning for clearer resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$130End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from regional meteorological centers show high uncertainty in Guangzhou's overnight minimum for September 6, with ensemble spreads placing the lowest temperature near 24–26 °C. Subtropical high pressure and lingering monsoon moisture create variable cloud cover and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add 1–2 °C to baseline readings. Historical September averages hover around 25 °C, yet recent model shifts in steering flow and boundary-layer humidity have narrowed the gap between 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. Traders await the next CMA and ECMWF updates tomorrow morning for clearer resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model runs from regional meteorological centers show high uncertainty in Guangzhou's overnight minimum for September 6, with ensemble spreads placing the lowest temperature near 24–26 °C. Subtropical high pressure and lingering monsoon moisture create variable cloud cover and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add 1–2 °C to baseline readings. Historical September averages hover around 25 °C, yet recent model shifts in steering flow and boundary-layer humidity have narrowed the gap between 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. Traders await the next CMA and ECMWF updates tomorrow morning for clearer resolution signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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