Current trader sentiment favoring 31°C or 32°C aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a 27–32°C range for September 7, shaped by weak coastal winds and a broad cloud band over southern China that favors scattered showers and limited afternoon heating. Numerical models show modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of convection, while the urban heat island and high humidity near 80–90% can nudge observed maxima slightly higher than rural analogs. Historical early-September climatology places typical daily maxima around 30–31°C. Refined HKO updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the current range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
6%
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$63 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$22 Vol.
16%
31°C
$5 Vol.
34%
32°C
$18 Vol.
34%
33°C
$254 Vol.
11%
34°C
$38 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current trader sentiment favoring 31°C or 32°C aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a 27–32°C range for September 7, shaped by weak coastal winds and a broad cloud band over southern China that favors scattered showers and limited afternoon heating. Numerical models show modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of convection, while the urban heat island and high humidity near 80–90% can nudge observed maxima slightly higher than rural analogs. Historical early-September climatology places typical daily maxima around 30–31°C. Refined HKO updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the current range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$642End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current trader sentiment favoring 31°C or 32°C aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a 27–32°C range for September 7, shaped by weak coastal winds and a broad cloud band over southern China that favors scattered showers and limited afternoon heating. Numerical models show modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of convection, while the urban heat island and high humidity near 80–90% can nudge observed maxima slightly higher than rural analogs. Historical early-September climatology places typical daily maxima around 30–31°C. Refined HKO updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the current range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$642End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current trader sentiment favoring 31°C or 32°C aligns with the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of a 27–32°C range for September 7, shaped by weak coastal winds and a broad cloud band over southern China that favors scattered showers and limited afternoon heating. Numerical models show modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of convection, while the urban heat island and high humidity near 80–90% can nudge observed maxima slightly higher than rural analogs. Historical early-September climatology places typical daily maxima around 30–31°C. Refined HKO updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the current range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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