Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 6, 2026, points to a high near 78–80°F at Los Angeles International Airport, aligning with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific marine layer, combined with morning cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers or isolated thunderstorms, is expected to limit daytime heating and suppress temperatures below the long-term average of roughly 76.5°F. Recent climatological data show September highs at LAX averaging 77–78°F amid neutral ENSO conditions, while yesterday’s observed peak of 78°F reinforces the current pattern. Forecast uncertainty centers on the timing and coverage of precipitation, which could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F depending on whether clearing occurs before peak insolation. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs where similar late-summer marine influences produced highs clustered in the upper 70s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
78-79°F 38%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 38%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
67°F or below
$844 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$269 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$218 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$92 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$290 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$2,543 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$1,375 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$999 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$454 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$676 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$318 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 6, 2026, points to a high near 78–80°F at Los Angeles International Airport, aligning with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific marine layer, combined with morning cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers or isolated thunderstorms, is expected to limit daytime heating and suppress temperatures below the long-term average of roughly 76.5°F. Recent climatological data show September highs at LAX averaging 77–78°F amid neutral ENSO conditions, while yesterday’s observed peak of 78°F reinforces the current pattern. Forecast uncertainty centers on the timing and coverage of precipitation, which could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F depending on whether clearing occurs before peak insolation. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs where similar late-summer marine influences produced highs clustered in the upper 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,078End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 6, 2026, points to a high near 78–80°F at Los Angeles International Airport, aligning with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific marine layer, combined with morning cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers or isolated thunderstorms, is expected to limit daytime heating and suppress temperatures below the long-term average of roughly 76.5°F. Recent climatological data show September highs at LAX averaging 77–78°F amid neutral ENSO conditions, while yesterday’s observed peak of 78°F reinforces the current pattern. Forecast uncertainty centers on the timing and coverage of precipitation, which could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F depending on whether clearing occurs before peak insolation. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs where similar late-summer marine influences produced highs clustered in the upper 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,078End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 6, 2026, points to a high near 78–80°F at Los Angeles International Airport, aligning with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific marine layer, combined with morning cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers or isolated thunderstorms, is expected to limit daytime heating and suppress temperatures below the long-term average of roughly 76.5°F. Recent climatological data show September highs at LAX averaging 77–78°F amid neutral ENSO conditions, while yesterday’s observed peak of 78°F reinforces the current pattern. Forecast uncertainty centers on the timing and coverage of precipitation, which could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F depending on whether clearing occurs before peak insolation. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs where similar late-summer marine influences produced highs clustered in the upper 70s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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