Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, including above-normal seasonal rainfall in Uttar Pradesh and forecast thunderstorms with high cloud cover on September 6, is moderating daytime maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official agency guidance and multiple numerical models indicate highs near 30–32°C amid easterly winds, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70–80%. Recent observations show Lucknow’s September 4–5 maxima at 32.3°C, slightly below normal, consistent with ongoing convective patterns that limit solar heating. These conditions position 31°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid model shifts before resolution. Updated IMD and global forecast outputs will provide the next key data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 51%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
25%
31°C
51%
32°C
20%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$395 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$220 Vol.
1%
28°C
$393 Vol.
2%
29°C
$573 Vol.
5%
30°C
$177 Vol.
25%
31°C
$414 Vol.
51%
32°C
$326 Vol.
20%
33°C
$89 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, including above-normal seasonal rainfall in Uttar Pradesh and forecast thunderstorms with high cloud cover on September 6, is moderating daytime maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official agency guidance and multiple numerical models indicate highs near 30–32°C amid easterly winds, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70–80%. Recent observations show Lucknow’s September 4–5 maxima at 32.3°C, slightly below normal, consistent with ongoing convective patterns that limit solar heating. These conditions position 31°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid model shifts before resolution. Updated IMD and global forecast outputs will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,229End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, including above-normal seasonal rainfall in Uttar Pradesh and forecast thunderstorms with high cloud cover on September 6, is moderating daytime maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official agency guidance and multiple numerical models indicate highs near 30–32°C amid easterly winds, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70–80%. Recent observations show Lucknow’s September 4–5 maxima at 32.3°C, slightly below normal, consistent with ongoing convective patterns that limit solar heating. These conditions position 31°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid model shifts before resolution. Updated IMD and global forecast outputs will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,229End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, including above-normal seasonal rainfall in Uttar Pradesh and forecast thunderstorms with high cloud cover on September 6, is moderating daytime maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official agency guidance and multiple numerical models indicate highs near 30–32°C amid easterly winds, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70–80%. Recent observations show Lucknow’s September 4–5 maxima at 32.3°C, slightly below normal, consistent with ongoing convective patterns that limit solar heating. These conditions position 31°C as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid model shifts before resolution. Updated IMD and global forecast outputs will provide the next key data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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