Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and an 75-80% chance of thunderstorms limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and light easterly winds reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observations of 25-26°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus around 26°C reflects this baseline, while the spread toward 21°C or below incorporates potential for heavier rainfall enhancing cooling, and the modest probability for 31°C or higher accounts for any unexpected clearing. Updated IMD model runs and radar trends over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
21°C or below 67%
31°C or higher 67%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
67%
22°C
7%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
41%
27°C
50%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
67%
21°C or below 67%
31°C or higher 67%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
67%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$18 Vol.
41%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and an 75-80% chance of thunderstorms limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and light easterly winds reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observations of 25-26°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus around 26°C reflects this baseline, while the spread toward 21°C or below incorporates potential for heavier rainfall enhancing cooling, and the modest probability for 31°C or higher accounts for any unexpected clearing. Updated IMD model runs and radar trends over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and an 75-80% chance of thunderstorms limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and light easterly winds reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observations of 25-26°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus around 26°C reflects this baseline, while the spread toward 21°C or below incorporates potential for heavier rainfall enhancing cooling, and the modest probability for 31°C or higher accounts for any unexpected clearing. Updated IMD model runs and radar trends over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and an 75-80% chance of thunderstorms limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and light easterly winds reduce the typical diurnal range, keeping overnight lows close to recent observations of 25-26°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus around 26°C reflects this baseline, while the spread toward 21°C or below incorporates potential for heavier rainfall enhancing cooling, and the modest probability for 31°C or higher accounts for any unexpected clearing. Updated IMD model runs and radar trends over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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