Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate Miami's September 5 high will likely peak near 89°F amid mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to scattered thunderstorms by afternoon, with a 50-70% rain chance and southeast winds near 5-8 mph. High humidity supports heat indices above 100°F, yet cloud cover and precipitation timing typically suppress maximum readings below climatological normals of 90°F. The prior day's observed 91°F high and ongoing late-summer convective patterns underpin trader emphasis on the 90-91°F bin, while afternoon storm development introduces uncertainty that tempers probabilities for 92°F or higher. Updated hourly observations and any revised NWS guidance through late afternoon remain key variables for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 5?
90-91°F 55%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 13%
86-87°F 9%
$23,727 Vol.
$23,727 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
55%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 55%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 13%
86-87°F 9%
$23,727 Vol.
$23,727 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
79°F or below
$1,929 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$312 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,457 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$2,372 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$5,095 Vol.
26%
90-91°F
$5,560 Vol.
55%
92-93°F
$3,099 Vol.
13%
94-95°F
$1,735 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$686 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate Miami's September 5 high will likely peak near 89°F amid mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to scattered thunderstorms by afternoon, with a 50-70% rain chance and southeast winds near 5-8 mph. High humidity supports heat indices above 100°F, yet cloud cover and precipitation timing typically suppress maximum readings below climatological normals of 90°F. The prior day's observed 91°F high and ongoing late-summer convective patterns underpin trader emphasis on the 90-91°F bin, while afternoon storm development introduces uncertainty that tempers probabilities for 92°F or higher. Updated hourly observations and any revised NWS guidance through late afternoon remain key variables for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,727End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate Miami's September 5 high will likely peak near 89°F amid mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to scattered thunderstorms by afternoon, with a 50-70% rain chance and southeast winds near 5-8 mph. High humidity supports heat indices above 100°F, yet cloud cover and precipitation timing typically suppress maximum readings below climatological normals of 90°F. The prior day's observed 91°F high and ongoing late-summer convective patterns underpin trader emphasis on the 90-91°F bin, while afternoon storm development introduces uncertainty that tempers probabilities for 92°F or higher. Updated hourly observations and any revised NWS guidance through late afternoon remain key variables for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,727End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts indicate Miami's September 5 high will likely peak near 89°F amid mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to scattered thunderstorms by afternoon, with a 50-70% rain chance and southeast winds near 5-8 mph. High humidity supports heat indices above 100°F, yet cloud cover and precipitation timing typically suppress maximum readings below climatological normals of 90°F. The prior day's observed 91°F high and ongoing late-summer convective patterns underpin trader emphasis on the 90-91°F bin, while afternoon storm development introduces uncertainty that tempers probabilities for 92°F or higher. Updated hourly observations and any revised NWS guidance through late afternoon remain key variables for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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