**Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in Miami on September 5 in the upper 70s Fahrenheit, driven by high humidity, cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and a moist tropical air mass that limits radiational cooling.** This setup produces a narrow diurnal temperature range, with daytime highs near 88–90°F and minimal overnight drop, consistent with late-summer climatology but slightly above the long-term September average low near 75°F. Recent model runs show little disagreement on steering patterns or intensification of nearby moisture, keeping the 76–79°F bin heavily favored in trader pricing. Official observations from Miami-area stations will determine the exact minimum, with resolution expected after midnight local time as the primary data point.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 5?
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 9%
73°F or below <1%
$3,580 Vol.
$3,580 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
53%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 62%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 9%
73°F or below <1%
$3,580 Vol.
$3,580 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
73°F or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$65 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$982 Vol.
53%
78-79°F
$187 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$258 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$108 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$165 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in Miami on September 5 in the upper 70s Fahrenheit, driven by high humidity, cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and a moist tropical air mass that limits radiational cooling.** This setup produces a narrow diurnal temperature range, with daytime highs near 88–90°F and minimal overnight drop, consistent with late-summer climatology but slightly above the long-term September average low near 75°F. Recent model runs show little disagreement on steering patterns or intensification of nearby moisture, keeping the 76–79°F bin heavily favored in trader pricing. Official observations from Miami-area stations will determine the exact minimum, with resolution expected after midnight local time as the primary data point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,580End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in Miami on September 5 in the upper 70s Fahrenheit, driven by high humidity, cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and a moist tropical air mass that limits radiational cooling.** This setup produces a narrow diurnal temperature range, with daytime highs near 88–90°F and minimal overnight drop, consistent with late-summer climatology but slightly above the long-term September average low near 75°F. Recent model runs show little disagreement on steering patterns or intensification of nearby moisture, keeping the 76–79°F bin heavily favored in trader pricing. Official observations from Miami-area stations will determine the exact minimum, with resolution expected after midnight local time as the primary data point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,580End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in Miami on September 5 in the upper 70s Fahrenheit, driven by high humidity, cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, and a moist tropical air mass that limits radiational cooling.** This setup produces a narrow diurnal temperature range, with daytime highs near 88–90°F and minimal overnight drop, consistent with late-summer climatology but slightly above the long-term September average low near 75°F. Recent model runs show little disagreement on steering patterns or intensification of nearby moisture, keeping the 76–79°F bin heavily favored in trader pricing. Official observations from Miami-area stations will determine the exact minimum, with resolution expected after midnight local time as the primary data point.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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