Trader consensus around 27–29°C for Taipei’s September 6 maximum reflects modest spread in short-range ensemble forecasts, driven by uncertainty in the strength and position of the subtropical ridge and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon trough. Model runs show slight variations in daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with urban heat-island effects and low-level wind patterns adding 1–2°C locally. Historical early-September climatology places the mean high near 31°C, yet current guidance indicates suppressed convection and possible marine-layer influence that could cap temperatures below seasonal norms. New model updates from the Central Weather Administration and global ensembles expected overnight will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 6?
28°C 25%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C
25%
29°C
24%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 25%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C
25%
29°C
24%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 27–29°C for Taipei’s September 6 maximum reflects modest spread in short-range ensemble forecasts, driven by uncertainty in the strength and position of the subtropical ridge and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon trough. Model runs show slight variations in daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with urban heat-island effects and low-level wind patterns adding 1–2°C locally. Historical early-September climatology places the mean high near 31°C, yet current guidance indicates suppressed convection and possible marine-layer influence that could cap temperatures below seasonal norms. New model updates from the Central Weather Administration and global ensembles expected overnight will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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