**Recent forecasts for Munich on September 5, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 24°C (75–76°F) under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and westerly winds, followed by overnight cooling to a minimum around 11–14°C (52–57°F).** This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 15°C (61%), 14°C (47.5%), and 13°C (33%), reflecting trader consensus on mild conditions driven by a westerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Key scientific factors include persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity, which reduce nighttime heat loss compared to clear-sky scenarios, while the region’s September climatology (average low ~11.6°C) provides a baseline. Model runs from sources such as GFS and local European guidance show limited model spread, with no strong cold advection or high-pressure setup that would push the minimum significantly below 13°C or above 15°C. Upcoming official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) and station data will resolve the market once the full calendar-day minimum is confirmed, likely near the lower end of the current forecast envelope given the timing of any clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 5?
14°C 48%
13°C 33%
12°C 5%
11°C or below 2%
$764 Vol.
$764 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
33%
14°C
48%
15°C
61%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 48%
13°C 33%
12°C 5%
11°C or below 2%
$764 Vol.
$764 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
11°C or below
$32 Vol.
2%
12°C
$32 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
33%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C
$55 Vol.
61%
16°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Munich on September 5, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 24°C (75–76°F) under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and westerly winds, followed by overnight cooling to a minimum around 11–14°C (52–57°F).** This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 15°C (61%), 14°C (47.5%), and 13°C (33%), reflecting trader consensus on mild conditions driven by a westerly flow that limits radiative cooling.
Key scientific factors include persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity, which reduce nighttime heat loss compared to clear-sky scenarios, while the region’s September climatology (average low ~11.6°C) provides a baseline. Model runs from sources such as GFS and local European guidance show limited model spread, with no strong cold advection or high-pressure setup that would push the minimum significantly below 13°C or above 15°C.
Upcoming official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) and station data will resolve the market once the full calendar-day minimum is confirmed, likely near the lower end of the current forecast envelope given the timing of any clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$764End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Munich on September 5, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 24°C (75–76°F) under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and westerly winds, followed by overnight cooling to a minimum around 11–14°C (52–57°F).** This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 15°C (61%), 14°C (47.5%), and 13°C (33%), reflecting trader consensus on mild conditions driven by a westerly flow that limits radiative cooling.
Key scientific factors include persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity, which reduce nighttime heat loss compared to clear-sky scenarios, while the region’s September climatology (average low ~11.6°C) provides a baseline. Model runs from sources such as GFS and local European guidance show limited model spread, with no strong cold advection or high-pressure setup that would push the minimum significantly below 13°C or above 15°C.
Upcoming official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) and station data will resolve the market once the full calendar-day minimum is confirmed, likely near the lower end of the current forecast envelope given the timing of any clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$764End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Munich on September 5, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 24°C (75–76°F) under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and westerly winds, followed by overnight cooling to a minimum around 11–14°C (52–57°F).** This range aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 15°C (61%), 14°C (47.5%), and 13°C (33%), reflecting trader consensus on mild conditions driven by a westerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Key scientific factors include persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity, which reduce nighttime heat loss compared to clear-sky scenarios, while the region’s September climatology (average low ~11.6°C) provides a baseline. Model runs from sources such as GFS and local European guidance show limited model spread, with no strong cold advection or high-pressure setup that would push the minimum significantly below 13°C or above 15°C. Upcoming official observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) and station data will resolve the market once the full calendar-day minimum is confirmed, likely near the lower end of the current forecast envelope given the timing of any clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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