Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 36 percent, ahead of the SPD at 28–29 percent, with the Left around 11–12 percent, the CDU near 9–10 percent, and smaller parties clustered around or below the 5 percent threshold. This produces projected AfD seat totals in the low-to-mid 30s under Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s proportional system with overhang and leveling seats, keeping the 28–31 and 32–35 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing. The SPD’s modest recent gains and stable AfD support have narrowed but not eliminated the gap, while uncertainty over whether the Greens or BSW clear the threshold adds variability to final seat math. With four weeks remaining, shifts in turnout among eastern German voters or last-minute movement on immigration and economic issues could widen or narrow the AfD’s projected range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated32-35 49%
28-31 46%
36+ 4.6%
20-23 4.5%
$15,295 Vol.
$15,295 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
4%
20-23
5%
24-27
3%
28-31
46%
32-35
49%
36+
5%
32-35 49%
28-31 46%
36+ 4.6%
20-23 4.5%
$15,295 Vol.
$15,295 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$201 Vol.
4%
20-23
$890 Vol.
5%
24-27
$2,623 Vol.
3%
28-31
$10,339 Vol.
46%
32-35
$776 Vol.
49%
36+
$466 Vol.
5%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 36 percent, ahead of the SPD at 28–29 percent, with the Left around 11–12 percent, the CDU near 9–10 percent, and smaller parties clustered around or below the 5 percent threshold. This produces projected AfD seat totals in the low-to-mid 30s under Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s proportional system with overhang and leveling seats, keeping the 28–31 and 32–35 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing. The SPD’s modest recent gains and stable AfD support have narrowed but not eliminated the gap, while uncertainty over whether the Greens or BSW clear the threshold adds variability to final seat math. With four weeks remaining, shifts in turnout among eastern German voters or last-minute movement on immigration and economic issues could widen or narrow the AfD’s projected range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volume
$15,295End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 36 percent, ahead of the SPD at 28–29 percent, with the Left around 11–12 percent, the CDU near 9–10 percent, and smaller parties clustered around or below the 5 percent threshold. This produces projected AfD seat totals in the low-to-mid 30s under Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s proportional system with overhang and leveling seats, keeping the 28–31 and 32–35 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing. The SPD’s modest recent gains and stable AfD support have narrowed but not eliminated the gap, while uncertainty over whether the Greens or BSW clear the threshold adds variability to final seat math. With four weeks remaining, shifts in turnout among eastern German voters or last-minute movement on immigration and economic issues could widen or narrow the AfD’s projected range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$15,295End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 36 percent, ahead of the SPD at 28–29 percent, with the Left around 11–12 percent, the CDU near 9–10 percent, and smaller parties clustered around or below the 5 percent threshold. This produces projected AfD seat totals in the low-to-mid 30s under Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s proportional system with overhang and leveling seats, keeping the 28–31 and 32–35 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing. The SPD’s modest recent gains and stable AfD support have narrowed but not eliminated the gap, while uncertainty over whether the Greens or BSW clear the threshold adds variability to final seat math. With four weeks remaining, shifts in turnout among eastern German voters or last-minute movement on immigration and economic issues could widen or narrow the AfD’s projected range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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